Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and Open-Meteo currently project an overnight low near 12–14°C for Warsaw on September 19 under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds, consistent with the month's above-average warmth to date. Trader sentiment remains split near 50% between sub-7°C and 16°C+ outcomes because ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to small changes in cloud cover, which modulates nocturnal radiative cooling, and any late shift in steering flow that could advect cooler continental air. Historical September minima average around 9–11°C, but recent high-pressure persistence has limited sharp drops; updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve whether the boundary layer stays mixed or decouples for stronger cooling.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Varsavia il 19 settembre?
6°C o inferiore 100%
16°C o superiore 98%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
6°C o inferiore
100%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C o superiore
98%
6°C o inferiore 100%
16°C o superiore 98%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
6°C o inferiore
100%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C o superiore
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and Open-Meteo currently project an overnight low near 12–14°C for Warsaw on September 19 under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds, consistent with the month's above-average warmth to date. Trader sentiment remains split near 50% between sub-7°C and 16°C+ outcomes because ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to small changes in cloud cover, which modulates nocturnal radiative cooling, and any late shift in steering flow that could advect cooler continental air. Historical September minima average around 9–11°C, but recent high-pressure persistence has limited sharp drops; updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve whether the boundary layer stays mixed or decouples for stronger cooling.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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