Current forecast models from agencies like the Norwegian Meteorological Institute and Polish sources indicate a minimum temperature near 13–14°C for Warsaw on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate northwesterly winds of 3–4 m/s, and advection of milder maritime air under a weak pressure gradient around 1013 hPa. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions that could allow greater temperature drops. Trader sentiment remains closely split between low (≤7°C) and high (≥17°C) outcomes due to lingering model spread on exact cloud timing and any late-day clearing, though historical September minima in Warsaw average near 10–12°C. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and satellite observations of the incoming frontal system will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Varsavia il 17 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Varsavia il 17 settembre?
7°C o inferiore 78%
17°C o superiore 76%
15°C 39%
12°C 24%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 set 2026
7°C o inferiore
78%
8°C
17%
9°C
18%
10°C
23%
11°C
24%
12°C
24%
13°C
21%
14°C
21%
15°C
39%
16°C
7%
17°C o superiore
76%
7°C o inferiore 78%
17°C o superiore 76%
15°C 39%
12°C 24%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 set 2026
7°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
78%
8°C
$0 Vol.
17%
9°C
$0 Vol.
18%
10°C
$0 Vol.
23%
11°C
$0 Vol.
24%
12°C
$0 Vol.
24%
13°C
$0 Vol.
21%
14°C
$0 Vol.
21%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C
$0 Vol.
7%
17°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
76%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the Norwegian Meteorological Institute and Polish sources indicate a minimum temperature near 13–14°C for Warsaw on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate northwesterly winds of 3–4 m/s, and advection of milder maritime air under a weak pressure gradient around 1013 hPa. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions that could allow greater temperature drops. Trader sentiment remains closely split between low (≤7°C) and high (≥17°C) outcomes due to lingering model spread on exact cloud timing and any late-day clearing, though historical September minima in Warsaw average near 10–12°C. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and satellite observations of the incoming frontal system will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
17 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the Norwegian Meteorological Institute and Polish sources indicate a minimum temperature near 13–14°C for Warsaw on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate northwesterly winds of 3–4 m/s, and advection of milder maritime air under a weak pressure gradient around 1013 hPa. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions that could allow greater temperature drops. Trader sentiment remains closely split between low (≤7°C) and high (≥17°C) outcomes due to lingering model spread on exact cloud timing and any late-day clearing, though historical September minima in Warsaw average near 10–12°C. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and satellite observations of the incoming frontal system will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data di fine
17 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the Norwegian Meteorological Institute and Polish sources indicate a minimum temperature near 13–14°C for Warsaw on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate northwesterly winds of 3–4 m/s, and advection of milder maritime air under a weak pressure gradient around 1013 hPa. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions that could allow greater temperature drops. Trader sentiment remains closely split between low (≤7°C) and high (≥17°C) outcomes due to lingering model spread on exact cloud timing and any late-day clearing, though historical September minima in Warsaw average near 10–12°C. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and satellite observations of the incoming frontal system will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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