**Trader consensus centers on a minimum temperature of 25–26 °C for Wuhan on 21 August 2026, with market-implied probabilities of 31.5 % for 25 °C and 63 % for 26 °C.** These outcomes align with current official forecasts showing overnight lows of 24–27 °C under partly cloudy to clear skies and light northerly winds. In Wuhan’s subtropical monsoon climate, high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typically keep August minimums in the mid-20s °C range; recent model runs have converged on this band without strong cold-air advection or heavy cloud cover that could drive further cooling. Hourly guidance from multiple sources places the lowest readings near dawn at 27 °C or slightly below, supporting the narrow 24–26 °C cluster while assigning negligible probability to 23 °C or lower. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping trader sentiment anchored to these values ahead of the day’s resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Wuhan il 21 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Wuhan il 21 agosto?
24°C 59%
25°C 31%
23°C 18%
22°C o inferiore <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
1%
23°C
18%
24°C
59%
25°C
31%
26°C
64%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
24°C 59%
25°C 31%
23°C 18%
22°C o inferiore <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
$177 Vol.
1%
23°C
$144 Vol.
18%
24°C
$144 Vol.
59%
25°C
$75 Vol.
31%
26°C
$163 Vol.
64%
27°C
$153 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
32°C o superiore
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a minimum temperature of 25–26 °C for Wuhan on 21 August 2026, with market-implied probabilities of 31.5 % for 25 °C and 63 % for 26 °C.** These outcomes align with current official forecasts showing overnight lows of 24–27 °C under partly cloudy to clear skies and light northerly winds.
In Wuhan’s subtropical monsoon climate, high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typically keep August minimums in the mid-20s °C range; recent model runs have converged on this band without strong cold-air advection or heavy cloud cover that could drive further cooling. Hourly guidance from multiple sources places the lowest readings near dawn at 27 °C or slightly below, supporting the narrow 24–26 °C cluster while assigning negligible probability to 23 °C or lower. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping trader sentiment anchored to these values ahead of the day’s resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,372Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a minimum temperature of 25–26 °C for Wuhan on 21 August 2026, with market-implied probabilities of 31.5 % for 25 °C and 63 % for 26 °C.** These outcomes align with current official forecasts showing overnight lows of 24–27 °C under partly cloudy to clear skies and light northerly winds.
In Wuhan’s subtropical monsoon climate, high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typically keep August minimums in the mid-20s °C range; recent model runs have converged on this band without strong cold-air advection or heavy cloud cover that could drive further cooling. Hourly guidance from multiple sources places the lowest readings near dawn at 27 °C or slightly below, supporting the narrow 24–26 °C cluster while assigning negligible probability to 23 °C or lower. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping trader sentiment anchored to these values ahead of the day’s resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,372Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a minimum temperature of 25–26 °C for Wuhan on 21 August 2026, with market-implied probabilities of 31.5 % for 25 °C and 63 % for 26 °C.** These outcomes align with current official forecasts showing overnight lows of 24–27 °C under partly cloudy to clear skies and light northerly winds. In Wuhan’s subtropical monsoon climate, high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typically keep August minimums in the mid-20s °C range; recent model runs have converged on this band without strong cold-air advection or heavy cloud cover that could drive further cooling. Hourly guidance from multiple sources places the lowest readings near dawn at 27 °C or slightly below, supporting the narrow 24–26 °C cluster while assigning negligible probability to 23 °C or lower. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping trader sentiment anchored to these values ahead of the day’s resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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