Recent forecasts from meteorological services indicate a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Wuhan on September 12, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies under a subtropical high-pressure ridge that favors moderate overnight radiative cooling without significant cold-air advection. Model consensus shows light northerly winds and dew points around 15–18°C limiting further drops, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily lows rarely fall below 20°C absent frontal passages. Trader emphasis on the 18°C outcome at 56.5% implied probability, alongside elevated odds for 14–17°C, likely reflects residual model spread in nocturnal boundary-layer cooling and the exact timing of the daily minimum at official stations, while probabilities above 19°C remain near zero amid stable conditions. Updated regional guidance and any late-day observations will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Wuhan il 12 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Wuhan il 12 settembre?
18°C 99%
15°C 20%
16°C 20%
17°C 20%
$2,752 Vol.
$2,752 Vol.
12 set 2026
14°C o inferiore
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Sì
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C o superiore
No
18°C 99%
15°C 20%
16°C 20%
17°C 20%
$2,752 Vol.
$2,752 Vol.
12 set 2026
14°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
No
15°C
$0 Vol.
No
16°C
$0 Vol.
No
17°C
$39 Vol.
No
18°C
$206 Vol.
Sì
19°C
$227 Vol.
No
20°C
$171 Vol.
No
21°C
$28 Vol.
No
22°C
$382 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,674 Vol.
No
24°C o superiore
$25 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological services indicate a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Wuhan on September 12, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies under a subtropical high-pressure ridge that favors moderate overnight radiative cooling without significant cold-air advection. Model consensus shows light northerly winds and dew points around 15–18°C limiting further drops, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily lows rarely fall below 20°C absent frontal passages. Trader emphasis on the 18°C outcome at 56.5% implied probability, alongside elevated odds for 14–17°C, likely reflects residual model spread in nocturnal boundary-layer cooling and the exact timing of the daily minimum at official stations, while probabilities above 19°C remain near zero amid stable conditions. Updated regional guidance and any late-day observations will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,752Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological services indicate a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Wuhan on September 12, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies under a subtropical high-pressure ridge that favors moderate overnight radiative cooling without significant cold-air advection. Model consensus shows light northerly winds and dew points around 15–18°C limiting further drops, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily lows rarely fall below 20°C absent frontal passages. Trader emphasis on the 18°C outcome at 56.5% implied probability, alongside elevated odds for 14–17°C, likely reflects residual model spread in nocturnal boundary-layer cooling and the exact timing of the daily minimum at official stations, while probabilities above 19°C remain near zero amid stable conditions. Updated regional guidance and any late-day observations will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,752Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent forecasts from meteorological services indicate a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Wuhan on September 12, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies under a subtropical high-pressure ridge that favors moderate overnight radiative cooling without significant cold-air advection. Model consensus shows light northerly winds and dew points around 15–18°C limiting further drops, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily lows rarely fall below 20°C absent frontal passages. Trader emphasis on the 18°C outcome at 56.5% implied probability, alongside elevated odds for 14–17°C, likely reflects residual model spread in nocturnal boundary-layer cooling and the exact timing of the daily minimum at official stations, while probabilities above 19°C remain near zero amid stable conditions. Updated regional guidance and any late-day observations will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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