Incumbent Republican Nicholas LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district, where race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or likely Republican. LaLota advanced unopposed through the Republican primary, while Democrat Christopher Gallant secured his party’s nomination in June after defeating a primary opponent. The district’s R+4 partisan voting index and Long Island voter patterns favor the Republican incumbent, aligning with the 72.5% market price for the Republican Party. No major late developments have altered the competitive landscape ahead of the November 3 general election, though independent candidates on the ballot remain a minor factor in vote splitting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-01
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-01
$42,259 Vol.
$42,259 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
72%
Partito Democratico
27%
$42,259 Vol.
$42,259 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$16,251 Vol.
72%
Partito Democratico
$26,008 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicholas LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district, where race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or likely Republican. LaLota advanced unopposed through the Republican primary, while Democrat Christopher Gallant secured his party’s nomination in June after defeating a primary opponent. The district’s R+4 partisan voting index and Long Island voter patterns favor the Republican incumbent, aligning with the 72.5% market price for the Republican Party. No major late developments have altered the competitive landscape ahead of the November 3 general election, though independent candidates on the ballot remain a minor factor in vote splitting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$42,259Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicholas LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district, where race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or likely Republican. LaLota advanced unopposed through the Republican primary, while Democrat Christopher Gallant secured his party’s nomination in June after defeating a primary opponent. The district’s R+4 partisan voting index and Long Island voter patterns favor the Republican incumbent, aligning with the 72.5% market price for the Republican Party. No major late developments have altered the competitive landscape ahead of the November 3 general election, though independent candidates on the ballot remain a minor factor in vote splitting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$42,259Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nicholas LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district, where race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or likely Republican. LaLota advanced unopposed through the Republican primary, while Democrat Christopher Gallant secured his party’s nomination in June after defeating a primary opponent. The district’s R+4 partisan voting index and Long Island voter patterns favor the Republican incumbent, aligning with the 72.5% market price for the Republican Party. No major late developments have altered the competitive landscape ahead of the November 3 general election, though independent candidates on the ballot remain a minor factor in vote splitting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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