Strong audience retention and minimal competition have positioned “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” for a sixth-weekend gross likely in the mid-teens, with traders assigning the highest implied probability (58%) to 15 million or more. After a record $360 million domestic opening, the film posted drops of 60%, 51%, 45%, and 42% across its first five weekends while remaining No. 1, reaching roughly $892 million domestically by August 30. Its 2.5x legs reflect sustained interest driven by Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, positive critical consensus, and franchise momentum, even as theater counts decline. With no major new wide releases challenging it heading into Labor Day weekend, the market consensus reflects expectations of a manageable 30–40% drop from the prior frame rather than a steeper falloff.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6° Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6° Weekend Box Office
15 milioni o più 58%
14-15 milioni 22%
11-12 milioni 7%
<11 milioni 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
<11 milioni
4%
11-12 milioni
7%
12-13 milioni
14%
13-14 milioni
15%
14-15 milioni
22%
15 milioni o più
58%
15 milioni o più 58%
14-15 milioni 22%
11-12 milioni 7%
<11 milioni 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
<11 milioni
$362 Vol.
4%
11-12 milioni
$336 Vol.
7%
12-13 milioni
$20 Vol.
14%
13-14 milioni
$20 Vol.
15%
14-15 milioni
$20 Vol.
22%
15 milioni o più
$80 Vol.
58%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong audience retention and minimal competition have positioned “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” for a sixth-weekend gross likely in the mid-teens, with traders assigning the highest implied probability (58%) to 15 million or more. After a record $360 million domestic opening, the film posted drops of 60%, 51%, 45%, and 42% across its first five weekends while remaining No. 1, reaching roughly $892 million domestically by August 30. Its 2.5x legs reflect sustained interest driven by Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, positive critical consensus, and franchise momentum, even as theater counts decline. With no major new wide releases challenging it heading into Labor Day weekend, the market consensus reflects expectations of a manageable 30–40% drop from the prior frame rather than a steeper falloff.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Sep 2, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
Volume
$838Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 6:56 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong audience retention and minimal competition have positioned “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” for a sixth-weekend gross likely in the mid-teens, with traders assigning the highest implied probability (58%) to 15 million or more. After a record $360 million domestic opening, the film posted drops of 60%, 51%, 45%, and 42% across its first five weekends while remaining No. 1, reaching roughly $892 million domestically by August 30. Its 2.5x legs reflect sustained interest driven by Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, positive critical consensus, and franchise momentum, even as theater counts decline. With no major new wide releases challenging it heading into Labor Day weekend, the market consensus reflects expectations of a manageable 30–40% drop from the prior frame rather than a steeper falloff.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$838Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 6:56 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Strong audience retention and minimal competition have positioned “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” for a sixth-weekend gross likely in the mid-teens, with traders assigning the highest implied probability (58%) to 15 million or more. After a record $360 million domestic opening, the film posted drops of 60%, 51%, 45%, and 42% across its first five weekends while remaining No. 1, reaching roughly $892 million domestically by August 30. Its 2.5x legs reflect sustained interest driven by Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, positive critical consensus, and franchise momentum, even as theater counts decline. With no major new wide releases challenging it heading into Labor Day weekend, the market consensus reflects expectations of a manageable 30–40% drop from the prior frame rather than a steeper falloff.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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