Persistent high-pressure systems and extreme late-summer heat across the Southern Plains, Lower Mississippi Valley, and Upper Midwest drove rapid drought intensification during the week ending August 25, 2026, expanding D3-D4 conditions in states including New Mexico, Idaho, Arkansas, Nebraska, Mississippi, and Nevada. The U.S. Drought Monitor, produced by NOAA, USDA, and the National Drought Mitigation Center, classifies D4 as exceptional drought based on integrated indicators such as soil moisture, streamflow, groundwater, and vegetation stress, with roughly 1.75% of the contiguous U.S. reaching this level. Monsoonal rains provided localized relief in parts of Arizona and western New Mexico, while the Climate Prediction Center outlook signals continued persistence into fall. The next USDM update, incorporating data through early September, will determine any further shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoExceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026
$3,414 Vol.

Alabama
1%

Arizona
1%

Arkansas
50%

California
1%

Delaware
1%

Florida
1%

Georgia
1%

Idaho
99%

Illinois
1%

Indiana
1%

Iowa
1%

Kansas
1%

Kentucky
1%

Louisiana
1%

Maryland
1%

Minnesota
1%

Mississippi
99%

Missouri
1%

Montana
1%

Nevada
51%

New Jersey
1%

New Mexico
99%

North Carolina
51%

North Dakota
1%

Ohio
1%

Oklahoma
99%

Oregon
99%

Pennsylvania
1%

South Carolina
1%

South Dakota
1%

Texas
50%

Utah
99%

Virginia
25%

Washington
2%

West Virginia
1%

Wisconsin
2%

Wyoming
1%
$3,414 Vol.

Alabama
1%

Arizona
1%

Arkansas
50%

California
1%

Delaware
1%

Florida
1%

Georgia
1%

Idaho
99%

Illinois
1%

Indiana
1%

Iowa
1%

Kansas
1%

Kentucky
1%

Louisiana
1%

Maryland
1%

Minnesota
1%

Mississippi
99%

Missouri
1%

Montana
1%

Nevada
51%

New Jersey
1%

New Mexico
99%

North Carolina
51%

North Dakota
1%

Ohio
1%

Oklahoma
99%

Oregon
99%

Pennsylvania
1%

South Carolina
1%

South Dakota
1%

Texas
50%

Utah
99%

Virginia
25%

Washington
2%

West Virginia
1%

Wisconsin
2%

Wyoming
1%
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Mississippi carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Mississippi market and make no claim about Mississippi's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x65070BE91...D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Mississippi carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Mississippi market and make no claim about Mississippi's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent high-pressure systems and extreme late-summer heat across the Southern Plains, Lower Mississippi Valley, and Upper Midwest drove rapid drought intensification during the week ending August 25, 2026, expanding D3-D4 conditions in states including New Mexico, Idaho, Arkansas, Nebraska, Mississippi, and Nevada. The U.S. Drought Monitor, produced by NOAA, USDA, and the National Drought Mitigation Center, classifies D4 as exceptional drought based on integrated indicators such as soil moisture, streamflow, groundwater, and vegetation stress, with roughly 1.75% of the contiguous U.S. reaching this level. Monsoonal rains provided localized relief in parts of Arizona and western New Mexico, while the Climate Prediction Center outlook signals continued persistence into fall. The next USDM update, incorporating data through early September, will determine any further shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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