Ongoing summer heat and moisture from a lingering stationary front are anchoring market-implied probabilities near 25–27°C for Busan’s August 30 minimum, with 26°C leading at 40%. High dew points near 25–27°C and persistent cloud cover limit overnight radiative cooling, sustaining tropical-night conditions above 25°C as confirmed by recent Busan Meteorological Office guidance and model consensus. Southwest flow and scattered thunderstorms add modest mixing but little cooling. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and frontal position, which could shift the low by 1–2°C depending on clearance before dawn. KMA and global model updates through August 29 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Busan il 30 agosto?
22°C or below 45%
26°C 33%
25°C 30%
28°C 25%
22°C or below
45%
23°C
25%
24°C
21%
25°C
30%
26°C
33%
27°C
25%
28°C
25%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
8%
22°C or below 45%
26°C 33%
25°C 30%
28°C 25%
22°C or below
45%
23°C
25%
24°C
21%
25°C
30%
26°C
33%
27°C
25%
28°C
25%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing summer heat and moisture from a lingering stationary front are anchoring market-implied probabilities near 25–27°C for Busan’s August 30 minimum, with 26°C leading at 40%. High dew points near 25–27°C and persistent cloud cover limit overnight radiative cooling, sustaining tropical-night conditions above 25°C as confirmed by recent Busan Meteorological Office guidance and model consensus. Southwest flow and scattered thunderstorms add modest mixing but little cooling. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and frontal position, which could shift the low by 1–2°C depending on clearance before dawn. KMA and global model updates through August 29 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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