James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination for Texas' U.S. Senate seat after defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the March 3 primary, setting up a general election matchup against the Republican primary runoff winner between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26. Talarico's record-breaking $27 million first-quarter fundraising haul, announced April 15, underscores his strong momentum and cash advantage over the GOP field, while Cornyn outraised Paxton four-to-one with $8 million cash on hand versus $2.6 million. Despite a recent Co/efficient poll showing Cornyn edging Paxton 44%-43% in the runoff, traders price a Talarico-Paxton general election at 60% implied probability, reflecting Paxton's historical success mobilizing the conservative base in low-turnout runoffs amid mixed polling.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMatchup per le elezioni del Senato del Texas
Matchup per le elezioni del Senato del Texas
Talarico & Paxton 60%
Talarico & Cornyn 39%
Altro <1%
Crockett e Paxton <1%
$667,125 Vol.
$667,125 Vol.
3 mar 2026
Talarico & Paxton
60%
Talarico & Cornyn
39%
Altro
1%
Crockett e Paxton
<1%
Crockett e Cornyn
<1%
Talarico & Hunt
<1%
Crockett & Hunt
<1%
Talarico & Paxton 60%
Talarico & Cornyn 39%
Altro <1%
Crockett e Paxton <1%
$667,125 Vol.
$667,125 Vol.
3 mar 2026
Talarico & Paxton
$248,993 Vol.
60%
Talarico & Cornyn
$178,000 Vol.
39%
Altro
$26,474 Vol.
1%
Crockett e Paxton
$104,197 Vol.
<1%
Crockett e Cornyn
$64,298 Vol.
<1%
Talarico & Hunt
$22,572 Vol.
<1%
Crockett & Hunt
$22,592 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination for Texas' U.S. Senate seat after defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the March 3 primary, setting up a general election matchup against the Republican primary runoff winner between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26. Talarico's record-breaking $27 million first-quarter fundraising haul, announced April 15, underscores his strong momentum and cash advantage over the GOP field, while Cornyn outraised Paxton four-to-one with $8 million cash on hand versus $2.6 million. Despite a recent Co/efficient poll showing Cornyn edging Paxton 44%-43% in the runoff, traders price a Talarico-Paxton general election at 60% implied probability, reflecting Paxton's historical success mobilizing the conservative base in low-turnout runoffs amid mixed polling.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
Volume
$667,125Data di fine
3 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination for Texas' U.S. Senate seat after defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the March 3 primary, setting up a general election matchup against the Republican primary runoff winner between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26. Talarico's record-breaking $27 million first-quarter fundraising haul, announced April 15, underscores his strong momentum and cash advantage over the GOP field, while Cornyn outraised Paxton four-to-one with $8 million cash on hand versus $2.6 million. Despite a recent Co/efficient poll showing Cornyn edging Paxton 44%-43% in the runoff, traders price a Talarico-Paxton general election at 60% implied probability, reflecting Paxton's historical success mobilizing the conservative base in low-turnout runoffs amid mixed polling.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$667,125Data di fine
3 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination for Texas' U.S. Senate seat after defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the March 3 primary, setting up a general election matchup against the Republican primary runoff winner between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26. Talarico's record-breaking $27 million first-quarter fundraising haul, announced April 15, underscores his strong momentum and cash advantage over the GOP field, while Cornyn outraised Paxton four-to-one with $8 million cash on hand versus $2.6 million. Despite a recent Co/efficient poll showing Cornyn edging Paxton 44%-43% in the runoff, traders price a Talarico-Paxton general election at 60% implied probability, reflecting Paxton's historical success mobilizing the conservative base in low-turnout runoffs amid mixed polling.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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