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Elezioni·Primarie

TX-38 Republican Primary Winner

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Elezioni·Primarie

TX-38 Republican Primary Winner

Jon Bonck 90.7%

Shelly deZevallos 2.8%

Jennifer Sundt 1.3%

Barrett McNabb 1.0%

Polymarket

$36,014 Vol.

Jon Bonck 90.7%

Shelly deZevallos 2.8%

Jennifer Sundt 1.3%

Barrett McNabb 1.0%

Polymarket

$36,014 Vol.

Jon Bonck

$16,882 Vol.

91%

Shelly deZevallos

$3,015 Vol.

3%

Jennifer Sundt

$2,246 Vol.

1%

Barrett McNabb

$1,588 Vol.

1%

Carmen Montiel

$1,468 Vol.

1%

Avery Ayers

$2,210 Vol.

1%

Craig Goralski

$1,540 Vol.

1%

Michael Pratt

$2,597 Vol.

1%

Larry Rubin

$2,055 Vol.

1%

Jeff Yuna

$2,411 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jon Bonck's commanding 90.6% implied probability in the TX-38 Republican primary winner market stems from his dominant 46.8% first-place finish in the March 3 crowded 10-candidate field—nearly 28,800 votes to Shelly deZevallos's 18.8%—propelled by a late endorsement from President Trump alongside backing from Sen. Ted Cruz, Speaker Mike Johnson, and Club for Growth. This open-seat race, vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's U.S. Senate bid in the solidly Republican Houston suburbs, reflects trader consensus on Bonck's momentum, endorsements, and fundraising edge exceeding $1 million raised with $438,000 cash on hand per recent FEC filings. A University of Houston poll shows Bonck leading by 12 points. While unlikely, deZevallos could challenge via consolidation of eliminated rivals' voters like Michael Pratt's 10.7%, aggressive negative campaigning, or a Bonck scandal ahead of the May 26 runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$36,014
Data di fine
26 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jon Bonck's commanding 90.6% implied probability in the TX-38 Republican primary winner market stems from his dominant 46.8% first-place finish in the March 3 crowded 10-candidate field—nearly 28,800 votes to Shelly deZevallos's 18.8%—propelled by a late endorsement from President Trump alongside backing from Sen. Ted Cruz, Speaker Mike Johnson, and Club for Growth. This open-seat race, vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's U.S. Senate bid in the solidly Republican Houston suburbs, reflects trader consensus on Bonck's momentum, endorsements, and fundraising edge exceeding $1 million raised with $438,000 cash on hand per recent FEC filings. A University of Houston poll shows Bonck leading by 12 points. While unlikely, deZevallos could challenge via consolidation of eliminated rivals' voters like Michael Pratt's 10.7%, aggressive negative campaigning, or a Bonck scandal ahead of the May 26 runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$36,014
Data di fine
26 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"TX-38 Republican Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 10 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Jon Bonck" a 91%, seguito da "Shelly deZevallos" a 3%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 91¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 91% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "TX-38 Republican Primary Winner" ha generato $36K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Feb 6, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "TX-38 Republican Primary Winner", esplora i 10 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "TX-38 Republican Primary Winner" è "Jon Bonck" a 91%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 91% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Shelly deZevallos" a 3%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "TX-38 Republican Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.