Efforts to schedule a second round of high-level US-Iran talks intensified this week after the first direct negotiations in Islamabad collapsed on April 11 following 21 hours without a peace deal, prompting a US naval blockade of Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz to enforce sanctions. President Trump indicated resumption could occur soon, while Pakistani mediators, including Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Field Marshal Asim Munir, met Iranian officials in Tehran on April 15 to bridge gaps ahead of ceasefire expiration. These rare diplomatic engagements, focused on nuclear constraints and sanctions relief, reflect fragile de-escalation signals amid ongoing proxy tensions, with traders eyeing confirmation of a meeting for resolution amid oil price volatility and blockade enforcement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRiunione diplomatica USA x Iran entro...?
Riunione diplomatica USA x Iran entro...?
$1,055,688 Vol.
30 apr 2026
15 aprile
<1%
16 aprile
1%
17 aprile
8%
18 aprile
21%
22 aprile
72%
30 aprile
89%
$1,055,688 Vol.
15 aprile
$74,657 Vol.
<1%
16 aprile
$84,663 Vol.
1%
17 aprile
$36,714 Vol.
8%
18 aprile
$523,018 Vol.
21%
22 aprile
$222,504 Vol.
72%
30 aprile
$114,629 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Efforts to schedule a second round of high-level US-Iran talks intensified this week after the first direct negotiations in Islamabad collapsed on April 11 following 21 hours without a peace deal, prompting a US naval blockade of Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz to enforce sanctions. President Trump indicated resumption could occur soon, while Pakistani mediators, including Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Field Marshal Asim Munir, met Iranian officials in Tehran on April 15 to bridge gaps ahead of ceasefire expiration. These rare diplomatic engagements, focused on nuclear constraints and sanctions relief, reflect fragile de-escalation signals amid ongoing proxy tensions, with traders eyeing confirmation of a meeting for resolution amid oil price volatility and blockade enforcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Volume
$1,055,688Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Efforts to schedule a second round of high-level US-Iran talks intensified this week after the first direct negotiations in Islamabad collapsed on April 11 following 21 hours without a peace deal, prompting a US naval blockade of Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz to enforce sanctions. President Trump indicated resumption could occur soon, while Pakistani mediators, including Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Field Marshal Asim Munir, met Iranian officials in Tehran on April 15 to bridge gaps ahead of ceasefire expiration. These rare diplomatic engagements, focused on nuclear constraints and sanctions relief, reflect fragile de-escalation signals amid ongoing proxy tensions, with traders eyeing confirmation of a meeting for resolution amid oil price volatility and blockade enforcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,055,688Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Efforts to schedule a second round of high-level US-Iran talks intensified this week after the first direct negotiations in Islamabad collapsed on April 11 following 21 hours without a peace deal, prompting a US naval blockade of Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz to enforce sanctions. President Trump indicated resumption could occur soon, while Pakistani mediators, including Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Field Marshal Asim Munir, met Iranian officials in Tehran on April 15 to bridge gaps ahead of ceasefire expiration. These rare diplomatic engagements, focused on nuclear constraints and sanctions relief, reflect fragile de-escalation signals amid ongoing proxy tensions, with traders eyeing confirmation of a meeting for resolution amid oil price volatility and blockade enforcement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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