Anthropic’s recent release of Claude Opus 5.5 on September 22 at $20 per million output tokens—20% below Opus 5—reflects intensifying competition as labs prioritize cost efficiency alongside capability. The model matches much of Fable 5.1 performance on typical workloads while using less compute, with cache reads cut to $0.20/M. OpenAI simultaneously launched GPT-6 Sol at $10 output, underscoring a broader frontier price war that has driven the blended token index down sharply since 2023. Traders are watching for Sonnet and Haiku 5.5 variants, potential further cuts before year-end, and any shifts in usage patterns or regulatory costs that could stabilize or accelerate pricing trends through December 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale sarà il prezzo del token di produzione di frontiera di Anthropic nel 2026?
Quale sarà il prezzo del token di produzione di frontiera di Anthropic nel 2026?
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
↑ $75
26%
↑ $50
75%
↑ $30
75%
↑ $25
75%
↓ $15
26%
↓ 10 dollari
29%
$20 Vol.
↑ $75
$0 Vol.
26%
↑ $50
$0 Vol.
75%
↑ $30
$0 Vol.
75%
↑ $25
$0 Vol.
75%
↓ $15
$0 Vol.
26%
↓ 10 dollari
$20 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the standard output token price of Anthropic's frontier model is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the price specified in the title, in USD per million tokens. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Anthropic's frontier model means the model with the highest score in the "Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index" (AAII) column of the model leaderboard at https://artificialanalysis.ai/leaderboards/models among entries listing Anthropic as the "Creator". The "Status" filter must be set to "Current", with "Weights", "Size", "Price", and "Reasoning" set to "All".
Only models with a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page will be considered. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.
Where the leaderboard lists one model under several reasoning-effort or configuration settings, those entries count as the same model and its highest displayed score applies. If two or more qualifying models share the highest displayed score, all respective standard output token prices of those models will be considered. Scores will be taken as displayed under the index, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data published elsewhere.
The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge. Prices for batch, fast mode, cached, or US-only inference and other data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies.
A price qualifies only while the model meets the frontier definition above, after market creation. A later leaderboard appearance or score change will not cause an earlier price to qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Artificial Analysis leaderboard for model scores and Anthropic's official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing) for prices. Official announcements and archived copies of these pages may be used to confirm the scores, prices, and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic’s recent release of Claude Opus 5.5 on September 22 at $20 per million output tokens—20% below Opus 5—reflects intensifying competition as labs prioritize cost efficiency alongside capability. The model matches much of Fable 5.1 performance on typical workloads while using less compute, with cache reads cut to $0.20/M. OpenAI simultaneously launched GPT-6 Sol at $10 output, underscoring a broader frontier price war that has driven the blended token index down sharply since 2023. Traders are watching for Sonnet and Haiku 5.5 variants, potential further cuts before year-end, and any shifts in usage patterns or regulatory costs that could stabilize or accelerate pricing trends through December 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the standard output token price of Anthropic's frontier model is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the price specified in the title, in USD per million tokens. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Anthropic's frontier model means the model with the highest score in the "Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index" (AAII) column of the model leaderboard at https://artificialanalysis.ai/leaderboards/models among entries listing Anthropic as the "Creator". The "Status" filter must be set to "Current", with "Weights", "Size", "Price", and "Reasoning" set to "All".
Only models with a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page will be considered. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.
Where the leaderboard lists one model under several reasoning-effort or configuration settings, those entries count as the same model and its highest displayed score applies. If two or more qualifying models share the highest displayed score, all respective standard output token prices of those models will be considered. Scores will be taken as displayed under the index, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data published elsewhere.
The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge. Prices for batch, fast mode, cached, or US-only inference and other data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies.
A price qualifies only while the model meets the frontier definition above, after market creation. A later leaderboard appearance or score change will not cause an earlier price to qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Artificial Analysis leaderboard for model scores and Anthropic's official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing) for prices. Official announcements and archived copies of these pages may be used to confirm the scores, prices, and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Anthropic's frontier model means the model with the highest score in the "Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index" (AAII) column of the model leaderboard at https://artificialanalysis.ai/leaderboards/models among entries listing Anthropic as the "Creator". The "Status" filter must be set to "Current", with "Weights", "Size", "Price", and "Reasoning" set to "All".
Only models with a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page will be considered. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.
Where the leaderboard lists one model under several reasoning-effort or configuration settings, those entries count as the same model and its highest displayed score applies. If two or more qualifying models share the highest displayed score, all respective standard output token prices of those models will be considered. Scores will be taken as displayed under the index, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data published elsewhere.
The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge. Prices for batch, fast mode, cached, or US-only inference and other data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies.
A price qualifies only while the model meets the frontier definition above, after market creation. A later leaderboard appearance or score change will not cause an earlier price to qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Artificial Analysis leaderboard for model scores and Anthropic's official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing) for prices. Official announcements and archived copies of these pages may be used to confirm the scores, prices, and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Sep 24, 2026, 4:24 AM ET
Volume
$20Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Sep 24, 2026, 4:24 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricingRisolutore
0x65070be91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the standard output token price of Anthropic's frontier model is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the price specified in the title, in USD per million tokens. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Anthropic's frontier model means the model with the highest score in the "Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index" (AAII) column of the model leaderboard at https://artificialanalysis.ai/leaderboards/models among entries listing Anthropic as the "Creator". The "Status" filter must be set to "Current", with "Weights", "Size", "Price", and "Reasoning" set to "All".
Only models with a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page will be considered. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.
Where the leaderboard lists one model under several reasoning-effort or configuration settings, those entries count as the same model and its highest displayed score applies. If two or more qualifying models share the highest displayed score, all respective standard output token prices of those models will be considered. Scores will be taken as displayed under the index, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data published elsewhere.
The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge. Prices for batch, fast mode, cached, or US-only inference and other data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies.
A price qualifies only while the model meets the frontier definition above, after market creation. A later leaderboard appearance or score change will not cause an earlier price to qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Artificial Analysis leaderboard for model scores and Anthropic's official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing) for prices. Official announcements and archived copies of these pages may be used to confirm the scores, prices, and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic’s recent release of Claude Opus 5.5 on September 22 at $20 per million output tokens—20% below Opus 5—reflects intensifying competition as labs prioritize cost efficiency alongside capability. The model matches much of Fable 5.1 performance on typical workloads while using less compute, with cache reads cut to $0.20/M. OpenAI simultaneously launched GPT-6 Sol at $10 output, underscoring a broader frontier price war that has driven the blended token index down sharply since 2023. Traders are watching for Sonnet and Haiku 5.5 variants, potential further cuts before year-end, and any shifts in usage patterns or regulatory costs that could stabilize or accelerate pricing trends through December 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the standard output token price of Anthropic's frontier model is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the price specified in the title, in USD per million tokens. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Anthropic's frontier model means the model with the highest score in the "Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index" (AAII) column of the model leaderboard at https://artificialanalysis.ai/leaderboards/models among entries listing Anthropic as the "Creator". The "Status" filter must be set to "Current", with "Weights", "Size", "Price", and "Reasoning" set to "All".
Only models with a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page will be considered. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.
Where the leaderboard lists one model under several reasoning-effort or configuration settings, those entries count as the same model and its highest displayed score applies. If two or more qualifying models share the highest displayed score, all respective standard output token prices of those models will be considered. Scores will be taken as displayed under the index, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data published elsewhere.
The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge. Prices for batch, fast mode, cached, or US-only inference and other data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies.
A price qualifies only while the model meets the frontier definition above, after market creation. A later leaderboard appearance or score change will not cause an earlier price to qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Artificial Analysis leaderboard for model scores and Anthropic's official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing) for prices. Official announcements and archived copies of these pages may be used to confirm the scores, prices, and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Anthropic's frontier model means the model with the highest score in the "Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index" (AAII) column of the model leaderboard at https://artificialanalysis.ai/leaderboards/models among entries listing Anthropic as the "Creator". The "Status" filter must be set to "Current", with "Weights", "Size", "Price", and "Reasoning" set to "All".
Only models with a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page will be considered. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.
Where the leaderboard lists one model under several reasoning-effort or configuration settings, those entries count as the same model and its highest displayed score applies. If two or more qualifying models share the highest displayed score, all respective standard output token prices of those models will be considered. Scores will be taken as displayed under the index, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data published elsewhere.
The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge. Prices for batch, fast mode, cached, or US-only inference and other data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies.
A price qualifies only while the model meets the frontier definition above, after market creation. A later leaderboard appearance or score change will not cause an earlier price to qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Artificial Analysis leaderboard for model scores and Anthropic's official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing) for prices. Official announcements and archived copies of these pages may be used to confirm the scores, prices, and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Sep 24, 2026, 4:24 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricingRisolutore
0x65070be91...Anthropic’s recent release of Claude Opus 5.5 on September 22 at $20 per million output tokens—20% below Opus 5—reflects intensifying competition as labs prioritize cost efficiency alongside capability. The model matches much of Fable 5.1 performance on typical workloads while using less compute, with cache reads cut to $0.20/M. OpenAI simultaneously launched GPT-6 Sol at $10 output, underscoring a broader frontier price war that has driven the blended token index down sharply since 2023. Traders are watching for Sonnet and Haiku 5.5 variants, potential further cuts before year-end, and any shifts in usage patterns or regulatory costs that could stabilize or accelerate pricing trends through December 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti