Skip to main content

Per fare trading negli USA, vai su polymarket.us

icon for Chi lascerà l'amministrazione Trump prima del 2027?
Politica·Trump

Chi lascerà l'amministrazione Trump prima del 2027?

icon for Chi lascerà l'amministrazione Trump prima del 2027?
Politica·Trump

Chi lascerà l'amministrazione Trump prima del 2027?

gen 1, 2027

gen 1, 2027

$1,398,870 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$1,398,870 Vol.

Polymarket

Kristi Noem

$97,510 Vol.

31%

Dan Scavino

$137 Vol.

29%

Susie Wiles

$55,831 Vol.

24%

Howard Lutnick

$94,437 Vol.

24%

Kash Patel

$303,520 Vol.

24%

Lee Zeldin

$31,580 Vol.

23%

David Sacks

$9,151 Vol.

22%

Pete Hegseth

$125,504 Vol.

20%

Russell Vought

$284 Vol.

18%

Markwayne Mullin

$2,631 Vol.

22%

John Ratcliffe

$554 Vol.

14%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$90,835 Vol.

13%

Tom Homan

$187 Vol.

21%

Stephen Miller

$3,769 Vol.

12%

Scott Bessent

$7,892 Vol.

9%

Marco Rubio

$19,710 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Trump administration cabinet and senior officials face elevated turnover risks due to historical patterns of rapid personnel changes, policy frictions, and external pressures during the 2025–2029 term. Key factors include Senate confirmation dynamics for replacements, midterm election results in November 2026 that could shift congressional leverage, and potential legal or regulatory developments affecting agency heads. Traders monitor public statements from the White House, reported internal disagreements over priorities such as immigration enforcement or trade policy, and any emerging vacancies or acting designations. Resolution hinges on verified departures announced before January 1, 2027, with recent cabinet stability or early exits serving as leading indicators of broader administrative churn.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Volume
$1,398,870
Data di fine
1 gen 2027
Mercato aperto
Jul 15, 2026, 3:55 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Trump administration cabinet and senior officials face elevated turnover risks due to historical patterns of rapid personnel changes, policy frictions, and external pressures during the 2025–2029 term. Key factors include Senate confirmation dynamics for replacements, midterm election results in November 2026 that could shift congressional leverage, and potential legal or regulatory developments affecting agency heads. Traders monitor public statements from the White House, reported internal disagreements over priorities such as immigration enforcement or trade policy, and any emerging vacancies or acting designations. Resolution hinges on verified departures announced before January 1, 2027, with recent cabinet stability or early exits serving as leading indicators of broader administrative churn.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Volume
$1,398,870
Data di fine
1 gen 2027
Mercato aperto
Jul 15, 2026, 3:55 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...

Correlati

icon for Trump si dimetterà prima del 2027?

Trump si dimetterà prima del 2027?

3%
Sì
icon for Trump fuori come Presidente prima del 2027?

Trump fuori come Presidente prima del 2027?

6%
Sì
icon for Trump si dimetterà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?

Trump si dimetterà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?

3%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Chi lascerà l'amministrazione Trump prima del 2027?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 21 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Karoline Leavitt" a 100%, seguito da "Tulsi Gabbard" a 100%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Chi lascerà l'amministrazione Trump prima del 2027?" ha generato $1.4 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 5, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Chi lascerà l'amministrazione Trump prima del 2027?", esplora i 21 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Chi lascerà l'amministrazione Trump prima del 2027?" è "Karoline Leavitt" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Tulsi Gabbard" a 100%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Chi lascerà l'amministrazione Trump prima del 2027?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.