**Saudi Arabia remains the clearest potential new signatory, yet Riyadh continues to condition any normalization on credible progress toward Palestinian statehood—a requirement unmet amid lingering regional tensions from the 2025 Iran-Israel conflict and related hostilities.** President Trump explicitly tied approval of a U.S.-Saudi civilian nuclear cooperation agreement to Abraham Accords accession in July 2026, but Saudi officials have not shifted their stance. In August 2026, Riyadh instead joined Turkey and Pakistan in the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, establishing a collective security framework independent of Israel ties. Kazakhstan formalized accession in late 2025, with Somaliland pledging involvement, yet no further formal signings have advanced in 2026. Limited movement on Syria, Lebanon, Oman, or other candidates, combined with the brief window until December 31, 2026, underpins the market's strong "No" consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoUn nuovo paese aderirà agli accordi di Abraham prima del 2027?
Un nuovo paese aderirà agli accordi di Abraham prima del 2027?
Sì
8% probabilità
$305,768 Vol.
$305,768 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
8% probabilità
$305,768 Vol.
$305,768 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**Saudi Arabia remains the clearest potential new signatory, yet Riyadh continues to condition any normalization on credible progress toward Palestinian statehood—a requirement unmet amid lingering regional tensions from the 2025 Iran-Israel conflict and related hostilities.** President Trump explicitly tied approval of a U.S.-Saudi civilian nuclear cooperation agreement to Abraham Accords accession in July 2026, but Saudi officials have not shifted their stance. In August 2026, Riyadh instead joined Turkey and Pakistan in the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, establishing a collective security framework independent of Israel ties. Kazakhstan formalized accession in late 2025, with Somaliland pledging involvement, yet no further formal signings have advanced in 2026. Limited movement on Syria, Lebanon, Oman, or other candidates, combined with the brief window until December 31, 2026, underpins the market's strong "No" consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$305,768Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**Saudi Arabia remains the clearest potential new signatory, yet Riyadh continues to condition any normalization on credible progress toward Palestinian statehood—a requirement unmet amid lingering regional tensions from the 2025 Iran-Israel conflict and related hostilities.** President Trump explicitly tied approval of a U.S.-Saudi civilian nuclear cooperation agreement to Abraham Accords accession in July 2026, but Saudi officials have not shifted their stance. In August 2026, Riyadh instead joined Turkey and Pakistan in the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, establishing a collective security framework independent of Israel ties. Kazakhstan formalized accession in late 2025, with Somaliland pledging involvement, yet no further formal signings have advanced in 2026. Limited movement on Syria, Lebanon, Oman, or other candidates, combined with the brief window until December 31, 2026, underpins the market's strong "No" consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$305,768Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...**Saudi Arabia remains the clearest potential new signatory, yet Riyadh continues to condition any normalization on credible progress toward Palestinian statehood—a requirement unmet amid lingering regional tensions from the 2025 Iran-Israel conflict and related hostilities.** President Trump explicitly tied approval of a U.S.-Saudi civilian nuclear cooperation agreement to Abraham Accords accession in July 2026, but Saudi officials have not shifted their stance. In August 2026, Riyadh instead joined Turkey and Pakistan in the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, establishing a collective security framework independent of Israel ties. Kazakhstan formalized accession in late 2025, with Somaliland pledging involvement, yet no further formal signings have advanced in 2026. Limited movement on Syria, Lebanon, Oman, or other candidates, combined with the brief window until December 31, 2026, underpins the market's strong "No" consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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