The short remaining timeline to December 31, 2026, stands as the dominant factor behind traders assigning a 92.8% probability against any new country joining the Abraham Accords. Saudi Arabia, the most frequently discussed candidate, continues to condition normalization on credible progress toward Palestinian statehood, a requirement unchanged by recent U.S. statements linking a civilian nuclear agreement to accession. Alternative regional alignments, including the August 2026 Mecca defense pact involving Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, have reduced immediate pressure for formal ties through the Accords framework. Upcoming Israeli elections in October 2026 and the absence of scheduled summits or verified breakthroughs further limit prospects for a formal signing in the final months of the resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoUn nuovo paese aderirà agli accordi di Abraham prima del 2027?
Un nuovo paese aderirà agli accordi di Abraham prima del 2027?
Sì
7% probabilità
$305,932 Vol.
$305,932 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
7% probabilità
$305,932 Vol.
$305,932 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.The short remaining timeline to December 31, 2026, stands as the dominant factor behind traders assigning a 92.8% probability against any new country joining the Abraham Accords. Saudi Arabia, the most frequently discussed candidate, continues to condition normalization on credible progress toward Palestinian statehood, a requirement unchanged by recent U.S. statements linking a civilian nuclear agreement to accession. Alternative regional alignments, including the August 2026 Mecca defense pact involving Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, have reduced immediate pressure for formal ties through the Accords framework. Upcoming Israeli elections in October 2026 and the absence of scheduled summits or verified breakthroughs further limit prospects for a formal signing in the final months of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$305,932Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.The short remaining timeline to December 31, 2026, stands as the dominant factor behind traders assigning a 92.8% probability against any new country joining the Abraham Accords. Saudi Arabia, the most frequently discussed candidate, continues to condition normalization on credible progress toward Palestinian statehood, a requirement unchanged by recent U.S. statements linking a civilian nuclear agreement to accession. Alternative regional alignments, including the August 2026 Mecca defense pact involving Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, have reduced immediate pressure for formal ties through the Accords framework. Upcoming Israeli elections in October 2026 and the absence of scheduled summits or verified breakthroughs further limit prospects for a formal signing in the final months of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$305,932Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...The short remaining timeline to December 31, 2026, stands as the dominant factor behind traders assigning a 92.8% probability against any new country joining the Abraham Accords. Saudi Arabia, the most frequently discussed candidate, continues to condition normalization on credible progress toward Palestinian statehood, a requirement unchanged by recent U.S. statements linking a civilian nuclear agreement to accession. Alternative regional alignments, including the August 2026 Mecca defense pact involving Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, have reduced immediate pressure for formal ties through the Accords framework. Upcoming Israeli elections in October 2026 and the absence of scheduled summits or verified breakthroughs further limit prospects for a formal signing in the final months of the resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti