Trump's second-term approval rating has declined steadily through 2026, averaging in the mid-to-high 30s percent range according to multiple aggregators, with several high-quality polls registering new lows near 33-36 percent in recent weeks. The ongoing U.S. military involvement in the Iran conflict, launched in early 2025, has weighed on public sentiment, with majorities disapproving of the handling of foreign policy, trade tariffs, and economic conditions. Recent polling shows particular erosion among younger voters and independents. With the November 2026 midterm elections less than 100 days away, outcomes in those contests and any associated legislative shifts could influence subsequent readings. Historical patterns indicate approval can fluctuate with major events, though sustained low readings near current levels would limit upside potential for the year's peak.