Record early voting at 23.51 percent, the highest for South Korean local elections, combined with midday figures reaching 57.4 percent by 5 p.m. on June 3, has anchored trader consensus on 60-65 percent final turnout for the Seoul mayoral contest. This exceeds the 2022 local elections' 50.9 percent nationwide rate and aligns with Seoul's confirmed 63.53 percent participation once counting concludes. The elevated participation reflects broader engagement in the first nationwide local vote under the current administration. Ballot paper shortages at multiple Seoul polling stations, which prompted extended voting, protests, and delays in National Election Commission certification, represent the primary variables that could still shift the final tally outside this narrow band.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日60〜65% 98.4%
55〜60% <1%
50%未満 <1%
65%以上 <1%
$190,277 Vol.
$190,277 Vol.
50%未満
いいえ
50〜55%
いいえ
55〜60%
いいえ
60〜65%
はい
65%以上
いいえ
60〜65% 98.4%
55〜60% <1%
50%未満 <1%
65%以上 <1%
$190,277 Vol.
$190,277 Vol.
50%未満
いいえ
50〜55%
いいえ
55〜60%
いいえ
60〜65%
はい
65%以上
いいえ
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).
マーケット開始日: May 26, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Record early voting at 23.51 percent, the highest for South Korean local elections, combined with midday figures reaching 57.4 percent by 5 p.m. on June 3, has anchored trader consensus on 60-65 percent final turnout for the Seoul mayoral contest. This exceeds the 2022 local elections' 50.9 percent nationwide rate and aligns with Seoul's confirmed 63.53 percent participation once counting concludes. The elevated participation reflects broader engagement in the first nationwide local vote under the current administration. Ballot paper shortages at multiple Seoul polling stations, which prompted extended voting, protests, and delays in National Election Commission certification, represent the primary variables that could still shift the final tally outside this narrow band.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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