Alabama's solidly Republican electorate and term limits on incumbent Kay Ivey have positioned Republican nominee Tommy Tuberville as the heavy favorite in the November 3, 2026, gubernatorial contest. Tuberville secured the GOP nomination decisively in the May primary and now leads Democratic nominee Doug Jones by roughly 8-10 points in recent polling averages, a margin consistent with the state's partisan baseline and the candidates' 2020 Senate rematch. Traders assign the Republican outcome over 95 percent probability due to these structural advantages and limited recent shifts in voter sentiment. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign scandals, health developments, or turnout surges favoring Democrats, though such factors have not materially altered current consensus pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$11,331 Vol.
$11,331 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
95%
民主党
5%
$11,331 Vol.
$11,331 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$6,310 Vol.
95%
民主党
$5,021 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alabama's solidly Republican electorate and term limits on incumbent Kay Ivey have positioned Republican nominee Tommy Tuberville as the heavy favorite in the November 3, 2026, gubernatorial contest. Tuberville secured the GOP nomination decisively in the May primary and now leads Democratic nominee Doug Jones by roughly 8-10 points in recent polling averages, a margin consistent with the state's partisan baseline and the candidates' 2020 Senate rematch. Traders assign the Republican outcome over 95 percent probability due to these structural advantages and limited recent shifts in voter sentiment. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign scandals, health developments, or turnout surges favoring Democrats, though such factors have not materially altered current consensus pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
音量
$11,331終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alabama's solidly Republican electorate and term limits on incumbent Kay Ivey have positioned Republican nominee Tommy Tuberville as the heavy favorite in the November 3, 2026, gubernatorial contest. Tuberville secured the GOP nomination decisively in the May primary and now leads Democratic nominee Doug Jones by roughly 8-10 points in recent polling averages, a margin consistent with the state's partisan baseline and the candidates' 2020 Senate rematch. Traders assign the Republican outcome over 95 percent probability due to these structural advantages and limited recent shifts in voter sentiment. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign scandals, health developments, or turnout surges favoring Democrats, though such factors have not materially altered current consensus pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$11,331終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's solidly Republican electorate and term limits on incumbent Kay Ivey have positioned Republican nominee Tommy Tuberville as the heavy favorite in the November 3, 2026, gubernatorial contest. Tuberville secured the GOP nomination decisively in the May primary and now leads Democratic nominee Doug Jones by roughly 8-10 points in recent polling averages, a margin consistent with the state's partisan baseline and the candidates' 2020 Senate rematch. Traders assign the Republican outcome over 95 percent probability due to these structural advantages and limited recent shifts in voter sentiment. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign scandals, health developments, or turnout surges favoring Democrats, though such factors have not materially altered current consensus pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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