Civil Contract's commanding trader consensus at 90.5% for Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election stems from recent polls, including EVN Report's April 6 survey showing the incumbent party strengthening its lead amid opposition fragmentation across 21 registered forces. As the only party to fully submit its candidate list by mid-April ahead of the April 23 deadline, Civil Contract benefits from proportional representation rules that favor the largest bloc, with undecided voters (around 30% in March polls) unlikely to consolidate challengers like Armenia Alliance or Strong Armenia. Scenarios challenging this include a late opposition merger securing a constitutional majority threshold, Pashinyan administration scandals, or geopolitical shocks like Azerbaijan border escalations disrupting voter priorities on peace and EU integration.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日シビル・コントラクト 91%
アルメニア連合 6%
ヘリテージ 1.8%
ハンラペトゥティウン党 1.6%
$104,391 Vol.
$104,391 Vol.
2026/06/07
シビル・コントラクト
91%
アルメニア連合
6%
ヘリテージ
2%
ハンラペトゥティウン党
2%
繁栄するアルメニア
2%
アルメニア国民会議
1%
オリナツ・イェルキル
1%
私は名誉同盟
<1%
ルミナス・アルメニア
<1%
シビル・コントラクト 91%
アルメニア連合 6%
ヘリテージ 1.8%
ハンラペトゥティウン党 1.6%
$104,391 Vol.
$104,391 Vol.
2026/06/07
シビル・コントラクト
$41,627 Vol.
91%
アルメニア連合
$49,743 Vol.
6%
ヘリテージ
$1,865 Vol.
2%
ハンラペトゥティウン党
$1,588 Vol.
2%
繁栄するアルメニア
$1,658 Vol.
2%
アルメニア国民会議
$2,110 Vol.
1%
オリナツ・イェルキル
$1,910 Vol.
1%
私は名誉同盟
$1,509 Vol.
<1%
ルミナス・アルメニア
$2,381 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding trader consensus at 90.5% for Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election stems from recent polls, including EVN Report's April 6 survey showing the incumbent party strengthening its lead amid opposition fragmentation across 21 registered forces. As the only party to fully submit its candidate list by mid-April ahead of the April 23 deadline, Civil Contract benefits from proportional representation rules that favor the largest bloc, with undecided voters (around 30% in March polls) unlikely to consolidate challengers like Armenia Alliance or Strong Armenia. Scenarios challenging this include a late opposition merger securing a constitutional majority threshold, Pashinyan administration scandals, or geopolitical shocks like Azerbaijan border escalations disrupting voter priorities on peace and EU integration.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
音量
$104,391終了日
2026/06/07マーケット開始日
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding trader consensus at 90.5% for Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election stems from recent polls, including EVN Report's April 6 survey showing the incumbent party strengthening its lead amid opposition fragmentation across 21 registered forces. As the only party to fully submit its candidate list by mid-April ahead of the April 23 deadline, Civil Contract benefits from proportional representation rules that favor the largest bloc, with undecided voters (around 30% in March polls) unlikely to consolidate challengers like Armenia Alliance or Strong Armenia. Scenarios challenging this include a late opposition merger securing a constitutional majority threshold, Pashinyan administration scandals, or geopolitical shocks like Azerbaijan border escalations disrupting voter priorities on peace and EU integration.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
音量
$104,391終了日
2026/06/07マーケット開始日
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Civil Contract's commanding trader consensus at 90.5% for Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election stems from recent polls, including EVN Report's April 6 survey showing the incumbent party strengthening its lead amid opposition fragmentation across 21 registered forces. As the only party to fully submit its candidate list by mid-April ahead of the April 23 deadline, Civil Contract benefits from proportional representation rules that favor the largest bloc, with undecided voters (around 30% in March polls) unlikely to consolidate challengers like Armenia Alliance or Strong Armenia. Scenarios challenging this include a late opposition merger securing a constitutional majority threshold, Pashinyan administration scandals, or geopolitical shocks like Azerbaijan border escalations disrupting voter priorities on peace and EU integration.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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