Democratic Party of Korea Rep. Park Soo-hyun's confirmation as Chungcheongnam-do gubernatorial candidate on April 15, following her runoff primary victory over former Gov. Yang Seung-jo, has solidified trader consensus at 89.8% implied probability of victory in the June 3 local elections. This reflects March polls showing her leading incumbent People Power Party Gov. Kim Tae-heum in head-to-head matchups and topping candidate suitability ratings, bolstered by party momentum in the province historically competitive between major parties. Low odds for Yang (2.9%) and Kim (1.8%) signal limited paths to upset absent major scandals, campaign gaffes, or national political shifts during the seven-week sprint, with minor candidates trailing far behind.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日パク・スヒョン 89.8%
ヤン・スンジョ 2.9%
キム・テフム 1.6%
ユン・サンヒョン <1%
$1,028,105 Vol.
$1,028,105 Vol.
パク・スヒョン
90%
ヤン・スンジョ
3%
キム・テフム
2%
ユン・サンヒョン
<1%
ソン・イルジョン
<1%
カン・スンギュ
<1%
ムン・ジンソク
<1%
カン・フンシク
<1%
チョン・ジンソク
<1%
パク・スヒョン 89.8%
ヤン・スンジョ 2.9%
キム・テフム 1.6%
ユン・サンヒョン <1%
$1,028,105 Vol.
$1,028,105 Vol.
パク・スヒョン
90%
ヤン・スンジョ
3%
キム・テフム
2%
ユン・サンヒョン
<1%
ソン・イルジョン
<1%
カン・スンギュ
<1%
ムン・ジンソク
<1%
カン・フンシク
<1%
チョン・ジンソク
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
マーケット開始日: Nov 18, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Party of Korea Rep. Park Soo-hyun's confirmation as Chungcheongnam-do gubernatorial candidate on April 15, following her runoff primary victory over former Gov. Yang Seung-jo, has solidified trader consensus at 89.8% implied probability of victory in the June 3 local elections. This reflects March polls showing her leading incumbent People Power Party Gov. Kim Tae-heum in head-to-head matchups and topping candidate suitability ratings, bolstered by party momentum in the province historically competitive between major parties. Low odds for Yang (2.9%) and Kim (1.8%) signal limited paths to upset absent major scandals, campaign gaffes, or national political shifts during the seven-week sprint, with minor candidates trailing far behind.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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