Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 89.6% implied probability, driven by the absence of an S-1 filing and the company's recent $5 billion funding round in February 2026, which cemented a $134 billion private valuation amid robust 65% year-over-year revenue growth to $5.4 billion ARR. This capital influx, plus $1.8 billion in debt secured in January, reduces urgency for public markets, allowing Databricks to prioritize AI-driven expansions like its lakehouse platform and MosaicML integrations in a competitive enterprise analytics landscape against Snowflake and AWS. Lower probabilities on valuation buckets reflect IPO discounts typical in volatile tech listings and an expected H2 2026 timeline, with S-1 filings as the key near-term catalyst to watch.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 86.9%
2,500億ドル以上 4.3%
1,250～1,500億ドル 4.2%
1000億ドル未満 1.3%
$396,037 Vol.
$396,037 Vol.
2026/06/30
1000億ドル未満
1%
1000億〜1250億ドル
1%
1,250～1,500億ドル
4%
1,500～1,750億ドル
<1%
1,750億～2,000億ドル
<1%
2,000億〜2,500億ドル
<1%
2,500億ドル以上
4%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし
89%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 86.9%
2,500億ドル以上 4.3%
1,250～1,500億ドル 4.2%
1000億ドル未満 1.3%
$396,037 Vol.
$396,037 Vol.
2026/06/30
1000億ドル未満
$32,733 Vol.
1%
1000億〜1250億ドル
$60,773 Vol.
1%
1,250～1,500億ドル
$25,517 Vol.
4%
1,500～1,750億ドル
$59,232 Vol.
<1%
1,750億～2,000億ドル
$57,484 Vol.
<1%
2,000億〜2,500億ドル
$19,528 Vol.
<1%
2,500億ドル以上
$125,551 Vol.
4%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし
$15,217 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 89.6% implied probability, driven by the absence of an S-1 filing and the company's recent $5 billion funding round in February 2026, which cemented a $134 billion private valuation amid robust 65% year-over-year revenue growth to $5.4 billion ARR. This capital influx, plus $1.8 billion in debt secured in January, reduces urgency for public markets, allowing Databricks to prioritize AI-driven expansions like its lakehouse platform and MosaicML integrations in a competitive enterprise analytics landscape against Snowflake and AWS. Lower probabilities on valuation buckets reflect IPO discounts typical in volatile tech listings and an expected H2 2026 timeline, with S-1 filings as the key near-term catalyst to watch.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
音量
$396,037終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 89.6% implied probability, driven by the absence of an S-1 filing and the company's recent $5 billion funding round in February 2026, which cemented a $134 billion private valuation amid robust 65% year-over-year revenue growth to $5.4 billion ARR. This capital influx, plus $1.8 billion in debt secured in January, reduces urgency for public markets, allowing Databricks to prioritize AI-driven expansions like its lakehouse platform and MosaicML integrations in a competitive enterprise analytics landscape against Snowflake and AWS. Lower probabilities on valuation buckets reflect IPO discounts typical in volatile tech listings and an expected H2 2026 timeline, with S-1 filings as the key near-term catalyst to watch.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$396,037終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 89.6% implied probability, driven by the absence of an S-1 filing and the company's recent $5 billion funding round in February 2026, which cemented a $134 billion private valuation amid robust 65% year-over-year revenue growth to $5.4 billion ARR. This capital influx, plus $1.8 billion in debt secured in January, reduces urgency for public markets, allowing Databricks to prioritize AI-driven expansions like its lakehouse platform and MosaicML integrations in a competitive enterprise analytics landscape against Snowflake and AWS. Lower probabilities on valuation buckets reflect IPO discounts typical in volatile tech listings and an expected H2 2026 timeline, with S-1 filings as the key near-term catalyst to watch.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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