SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline underpins the overwhelming 98.9% market-implied probability for a June debut. The company filed its S-1 registration statement with the SEC in May 2026, launched its investor roadshow in early June, and set pricing at $135 per share to raise a record $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation, with Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX targeted for mid-month. This rapid progression from confidential filing to public marketing reflects strong institutional demand and favorable market conditions for the landmark offering. Scenarios that could still shift odds include unexpected regulatory hurdles, adverse equity-market volatility disrupting the roadshow, or last-minute delays in finalizing allocations, though the advanced stage leaves limited room for material slippage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月 98.8%
2027年以前にIPOなし <1%
7月 <1%
8月 <1%
$468,492 Vol.
$468,492 Vol.
6月
99%
7月
<1%
8月
<1%
9月
<1%
10月
<1%
11月
<1%
12月
<1%
2027年以前にIPOなし
1%
6月 98.8%
2027年以前にIPOなし <1%
7月 <1%
8月 <1%
$468,492 Vol.
$468,492 Vol.
6月
99%
7月
<1%
8月
<1%
9月
<1%
10月
<1%
11月
<1%
12月
<1%
2027年以前にIPOなし
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
マーケット開始日: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline underpins the overwhelming 98.9% market-implied probability for a June debut. The company filed its S-1 registration statement with the SEC in May 2026, launched its investor roadshow in early June, and set pricing at $135 per share to raise a record $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation, with Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX targeted for mid-month. This rapid progression from confidential filing to public marketing reflects strong institutional demand and favorable market conditions for the landmark offering. Scenarios that could still shift odds include unexpected regulatory hurdles, adverse equity-market volatility disrupting the roadshow, or last-minute delays in finalizing allocations, though the advanced stage leaves limited room for material slippage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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