SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline drives the near-certain June outcome, with the company having filed its public S-1 on May 20, launched a roadshow targeting June 8, and set pricing for June 11 ahead of a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX on June 12. The offering targets $135 per share to raise up to $75 billion at roughly $1.75 trillion valuation, reflecting completed SEC review and strong institutional demand that has compressed the process from earlier 2026 targets. This positions June as the resolution month with overwhelming trader consensus. Potential challenges include last-minute regulatory requests or sharp equity-market deterioration that could push pricing into early July, though the advanced stage and fixed terms make such shifts improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月 99.6%
7月 <1%
2027年以前にIPOなし <1%
8月 <1%
$478,100 Vol.
$478,100 Vol.
6月
100%
7月
<1%
8月
<1%
9月
<1%
10月
<1%
11月
<1%
12月
<1%
2027年以前にIPOなし
<1%
6月 99.6%
7月 <1%
2027年以前にIPOなし <1%
8月 <1%
$478,100 Vol.
$478,100 Vol.
6月
100%
7月
<1%
8月
<1%
9月
<1%
10月
<1%
11月
<1%
12月
<1%
2027年以前にIPOなし
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
マーケット開始日: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline drives the near-certain June outcome, with the company having filed its public S-1 on May 20, launched a roadshow targeting June 8, and set pricing for June 11 ahead of a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX on June 12. The offering targets $135 per share to raise up to $75 billion at roughly $1.75 trillion valuation, reflecting completed SEC review and strong institutional demand that has compressed the process from earlier 2026 targets. This positions June as the resolution month with overwhelming trader consensus. Potential challenges include last-minute regulatory requests or sharp equity-market deterioration that could push pricing into early July, though the advanced stage and fixed terms make such shifts improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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