SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, marked by its May 2026 SEC filing and plans for a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX as early as June 12, underpins the overwhelming 98.2% market-implied probability for a June listing. Recent Reuters reports detail a fixed $135 per share price targeting a record $75 billion raise at a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation, with the roadshow set to begin imminently. This concrete progression—following confidential submissions in April—has aligned trader consensus around swift resolution in the current month. While the dominant positioning reflects skin-in-the-game confidence in the filing momentum, realistic challenges could include last-minute regulatory hurdles or adverse market volatility that might push pricing or trading into early July, though such shifts appear low-probability given the advanced stage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月 98.2%
8月 <1%
7月 <1%
10月 <1%
$443,280 Vol.
$443,280 Vol.
6月
98%
7月
<1%
8月
1%
9月
<1%
10月
<1%
11月
<1%
12月
<1%
2027年以前にIPOなし
<1%
6月 98.2%
8月 <1%
7月 <1%
10月 <1%
$443,280 Vol.
$443,280 Vol.
6月
98%
7月
<1%
8月
1%
9月
<1%
10月
<1%
11月
<1%
12月
<1%
2027年以前にIPOなし
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
マーケット開始日: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, marked by its May 2026 SEC filing and plans for a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX as early as June 12, underpins the overwhelming 98.2% market-implied probability for a June listing. Recent Reuters reports detail a fixed $135 per share price targeting a record $75 billion raise at a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation, with the roadshow set to begin imminently. This concrete progression—following confidential submissions in April—has aligned trader consensus around swift resolution in the current month. While the dominant positioning reflects skin-in-the-game confidence in the filing momentum, realistic challenges could include last-minute regulatory hurdles or adverse market volatility that might push pricing or trading into early July, though such shifts appear low-probability given the advanced stage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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