Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10-17 at 46.5% implied probability, reflecting 267 verified posts through early April 16—86% of the period—at a steady 45 tweets-per-day average per XTracker data. This pace, sustained amid Tesla shares surging 7.5% on positive earnings buzz and viral exchanges over Starlink access in South Africa, positions 280-299 (23.4%) and 320-339 (18.4%) as viable contenders, with traders noting recent minor slowdowns but anticipating bursts from Grok updates or SpaceX milestones. With under 30 hours remaining until the April 17 ET close, late-night posting habits or breaking news could swing the final tally, underscoring the market's sensitivity to Musk's unpredictable social media cadence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日300〜319 47%
280～299 23.6%
320～339 19.4%
340～359 5.8%
$9,985,298 Vol.
$9,985,298 Vol.
2026/04/17
260〜279
1%
280～299
24%
300〜319
47%
320～339
19%
340～359
6%
360～379
2%
380〜399
<1%
400～419
<1%
420～439
<1%
440～459
<1%
460～479
<1%
480〜499
<1%
500～519
<1%
520〜539
<1%
540～559
<1%
560～579
<1%
580以上
<1%
300〜319 47%
280～299 23.6%
320～339 19.4%
340～359 5.8%
$9,985,298 Vol.
$9,985,298 Vol.
2026/04/17
260〜279
$587,049 Vol.
1%
280～299
$429,765 Vol.
24%
300〜319
$342,814 Vol.
47%
320～339
$443,746 Vol.
19%
340～359
$365,981 Vol.
6%
360～379
$387,204 Vol.
2%
380〜399
$334,306 Vol.
<1%
400～419
$406,452 Vol.
<1%
420～439
$427,954 Vol.
<1%
440～459
$483,526 Vol.
<1%
460～479
$342,850 Vol.
<1%
480〜499
$329,750 Vol.
<1%
500～519
$264,248 Vol.
<1%
520〜539
$266,477 Vol.
<1%
540～559
$270,374 Vol.
<1%
560～579
$188,742 Vol.
<1%
580以上
$354,007 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10-17 at 46.5% implied probability, reflecting 267 verified posts through early April 16—86% of the period—at a steady 45 tweets-per-day average per XTracker data. This pace, sustained amid Tesla shares surging 7.5% on positive earnings buzz and viral exchanges over Starlink access in South Africa, positions 280-299 (23.4%) and 320-339 (18.4%) as viable contenders, with traders noting recent minor slowdowns but anticipating bursts from Grok updates or SpaceX milestones. With under 30 hours remaining until the April 17 ET close, late-night posting habits or breaking news could swing the final tally, underscoring the market's sensitivity to Musk's unpredictable social media cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$9,985,298終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10-17 at 46.5% implied probability, reflecting 267 verified posts through early April 16—86% of the period—at a steady 45 tweets-per-day average per XTracker data. This pace, sustained amid Tesla shares surging 7.5% on positive earnings buzz and viral exchanges over Starlink access in South Africa, positions 280-299 (23.4%) and 320-339 (18.4%) as viable contenders, with traders noting recent minor slowdowns but anticipating bursts from Grok updates or SpaceX milestones. With under 30 hours remaining until the April 17 ET close, late-night posting habits or breaking news could swing the final tally, underscoring the market's sensitivity to Musk's unpredictable social media cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$9,985,298終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10-17 at 46.5% implied probability, reflecting 267 verified posts through early April 16—86% of the period—at a steady 45 tweets-per-day average per XTracker data. This pace, sustained amid Tesla shares surging 7.5% on positive earnings buzz and viral exchanges over Starlink access in South Africa, positions 280-299 (23.4%) and 320-339 (18.4%) as viable contenders, with traders noting recent minor slowdowns but anticipating bursts from Grok updates or SpaceX milestones. With under 30 hours remaining until the April 17 ET close, late-night posting habits or breaking news could swing the final tally, underscoring the market's sensitivity to Musk's unpredictable social media cadence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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