Ongoing diplomatic efforts under the U.S.-backed Gaza peace plan, including recent agreements on Hamas disarmament and phase-two implementation, represent the main driver of trader views on foreign intervention prospects. The proposed International Stabilization Force and Board of Peace, backed by mediators Egypt, Qatar, and Turkey, aim to oversee security, aid, and governance after Israeli withdrawal, with Hamas and aligned groups signaling conditional acceptance in early August 2026. Persistent Israeli strikes and security objections, however, highlight implementation hurdles. Traders monitor upcoming negotiations on troop deployment timelines, reconstruction milestones, and any escalation in violations that could accelerate or block external force involvement within the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$771,365 Vol.
8月31日
8%
9月30日
23%
12月31日
53%
$771,365 Vol.
8月31日
8%
9月30日
23%
12月31日
53%
The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Jul 27, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing diplomatic efforts under the U.S.-backed Gaza peace plan, including recent agreements on Hamas disarmament and phase-two implementation, represent the main driver of trader views on foreign intervention prospects. The proposed International Stabilization Force and Board of Peace, backed by mediators Egypt, Qatar, and Turkey, aim to oversee security, aid, and governance after Israeli withdrawal, with Hamas and aligned groups signaling conditional acceptance in early August 2026. Persistent Israeli strikes and security objections, however, highlight implementation hurdles. Traders monitor upcoming negotiations on troop deployment timelines, reconstruction milestones, and any escalation in violations that could accelerate or block external force involvement within the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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