Seán Kyne secured the Galway West Dáil seat in the May 22 by-election through strong performance in later counts under Ireland’s single transferable vote system, overtaking first-preference leader Noel Thomas of Independent Ireland on the eleventh count after receiving decisive transfers from eliminated candidates including Labour’s Helen Ogbu. Kyne’s established local profile as a former TD and current Senator, combined with Fine Gael’s historical strength in the constituency and support from centre-right voters, positioned him to consolidate preferences effectively once lower-polling contenders were excluded. Other listed candidates trailed significantly throughout the process with no viable path to victory. A narrow final margin or formal recount challenge could theoretically delay formal resolution, though the official declaration has already confirmed the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日シェーン・カイン 100.0%
シーラ・ギャリティ <1%
ナイアル・マーフィー <1%
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich <1%
$257,367 Vol.
$257,367 Vol.
シーラ・ギャリティ
いいえ
シェーン・カイン
はい
ナイアル・マーフィー
いいえ
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich
いいえ
オーラ・ニュージェント
いいえ
ヘレン・オグブ
いいえ
デンマン・ルーク
いいえ
ノエル・トーマス
いいえ
トーマス・ウェルビー
いいえ
マイク・カバード
いいえ
マーク・ローハン
いいえ
シェーン・カイン 100.0%
シーラ・ギャリティ <1%
ナイアル・マーフィー <1%
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich <1%
$257,367 Vol.
$257,367 Vol.
シーラ・ギャリティ
いいえ
シェーン・カイン
はい
ナイアル・マーフィー
いいえ
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich
いいえ
オーラ・ニュージェント
いいえ
ヘレン・オグブ
いいえ
デンマン・ルーク
いいえ
ノエル・トーマス
いいえ
トーマス・ウェルビー
いいえ
マイク・カバード
いいえ
マーク・ローハン
いいえ
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
マーケット開始日: Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Seán Kyne secured the Galway West Dáil seat in the May 22 by-election through strong performance in later counts under Ireland’s single transferable vote system, overtaking first-preference leader Noel Thomas of Independent Ireland on the eleventh count after receiving decisive transfers from eliminated candidates including Labour’s Helen Ogbu. Kyne’s established local profile as a former TD and current Senator, combined with Fine Gael’s historical strength in the constituency and support from centre-right voters, positioned him to consolidate preferences effectively once lower-polling contenders were excluded. Other listed candidates trailed significantly throughout the process with no viable path to victory. A narrow final margin or formal recount challenge could theoretically delay formal resolution, though the official declaration has already confirmed the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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