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icon for 8月のワシントン山の最高風速は?

8月のワシントン山の最高風速は?

icon for 8月のワシントン山の最高風速は?

8月のワシントン山の最高風速は?

新規
2026/08/31
Polymarket

$300 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for 85mph以上

85mph以上

$108 Vol.

76%

icon for 90マイル以上

90マイル以上

$105 Vol.

61%

icon for 少なくとも95 mph

少なくとも95 mph

$87 Vol.

56%

icon for ≥100マイル/時

≥100マイル/時

$0 Vol.

52%

icon for ≥105 mph

≥105 mph

$0 Vol.

51%

icon for ≥110マイル/時

≥110マイル/時

$0 Vol.

48%

icon for 115マイル毎時以上

115マイル毎時以上

$0 Vol.

46%

This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mount Washington’s summit experiences extreme winds primarily due to its topography, which funnels westerly flows through the Presidential Range’s V-shaped gap, combined with tight pressure gradients from passing low-pressure systems. In August, trader sentiment reflects the lower historical likelihood of hurricane-force gusts compared to winter or spring, as seasonal patterns favor weaker extratropical systems or occasional tropical remnants rather than intense cyclones. The Mount Washington Observatory continuously records sustained winds and gusts via anemometers, with data released in real time and daily summaries; August records typically fall well below the all-time 231 mph benchmark from April 1934. Upcoming NOAA and National Weather Service forecasts for New England high-pressure setups or frontal passages through early September will provide key updates that could shift implied probabilities if stronger gradients develop.

This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026.

The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/.

The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$300
終了日
2026/09/01
マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 1:46 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mount Washington’s summit experiences extreme winds primarily due to its topography, which funnels westerly flows through the Presidential Range’s V-shaped gap, combined with tight pressure gradients from passing low-pressure systems. In August, trader sentiment reflects the lower historical likelihood of hurricane-force gusts compared to winter or spring, as seasonal patterns favor weaker extratropical systems or occasional tropical remnants rather than intense cyclones. The Mount Washington Observatory continuously records sustained winds and gusts via anemometers, with data released in real time and daily summaries; August records typically fall well below the all-time 231 mph benchmark from April 1934. Upcoming NOAA and National Weather Service forecasts for New England high-pressure setups or frontal passages through early September will provide key updates that could shift implied probabilities if stronger gradients develop.

This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026.

The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/.

The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$300
終了日
2026/09/01
マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 1:46 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「8月のワシントン山の最高風速は?」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「85mph以上」で77%、次いで「90マイル以上」が61%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、77¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に77%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「8月のワシントン山の最高風速は?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jul 28, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「8月のワシントン山の最高風速は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「8月のワシントン山の最高風速は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「85mph以上」で77%であり、市場がこの結果に77%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「90マイル以上」で61%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「8月のワシントン山の最高風速は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。