Trader consensus clusters tightly around 15–17°C for Buenos Aires’ August 2 maximum because short-range forecast ensembles show only modest spread in key drivers: southerly cold-air advection behind a weak front, boundary-layer mixing under partly cloudy skies, and modest diurnal heating from low winter insolation at 34°S latitude. A slightly stronger northerly return flow or clearer conditions could push readings to 17°C, while deeper mixing or earlier cloud cover favors 15°C; official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station data and historical August variability around the 16°C climatological mean support this narrow range. Market-implied odds reflect the limited differentiation among numerical guidance runs available 24–48 hours ahead.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は?
16°C 37%
17°C 24%
15°C 21%
14°C 11%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
11%
15°C
21%
16°C
29%
17°C
24%
18°C
4%
19°C or higher
3%
16°C 37%
17°C 24%
15°C 21%
14°C 11%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
11%
15°C
21%
16°C
29%
17°C
24%
18°C
4%
19°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus clusters tightly around 15–17°C for Buenos Aires’ August 2 maximum because short-range forecast ensembles show only modest spread in key drivers: southerly cold-air advection behind a weak front, boundary-layer mixing under partly cloudy skies, and modest diurnal heating from low winter insolation at 34°S latitude. A slightly stronger northerly return flow or clearer conditions could push readings to 17°C, while deeper mixing or earlier cloud cover favors 15°C; official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station data and historical August variability around the 16°C climatological mean support this narrow range. Market-implied odds reflect the limited differentiation among numerical guidance runs available 24–48 hours ahead.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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