Recent ensemble forecasts from regional models position 28°C as the leading outcome for São Paulo’s August 2 maximum, reflecting a subtropical high-pressure ridge that promotes daytime warming while suppressing strong cold-air incursions typical of winter. Light winds and partly cloudy skies are expected to allow temperatures to climb modestly above the seasonal average of 23–25°C, with the latest guidance showing limited model spread around 27–29°C. A recent late-July warm spell reaching 28.9°C has sustained trader confidence in near-normal to slightly elevated readings, though any strengthening southerly flow or increased cloud cover ahead of the next frontal passage could cap the peak closer to 27°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
28°C 48%
29°C 28%
27°C 18%
26°C 7%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
18%
28°C
48%
29°C
28%
30°C
4%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 48%
29°C 28%
27°C 18%
26°C 7%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
18%
28°C
48%
29°C
28%
30°C
4%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from regional models position 28°C as the leading outcome for São Paulo’s August 2 maximum, reflecting a subtropical high-pressure ridge that promotes daytime warming while suppressing strong cold-air incursions typical of winter. Light winds and partly cloudy skies are expected to allow temperatures to climb modestly above the seasonal average of 23–25°C, with the latest guidance showing limited model spread around 27–29°C. A recent late-July warm spell reaching 28.9°C has sustained trader confidence in near-normal to slightly elevated readings, though any strengthening southerly flow or increased cloud cover ahead of the next frontal passage could cap the peak closer to 27°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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