Persistent summer high pressure and subsidence are keeping Houston under mostly clear, hot conditions for August 2, with model consensus from NWS and ECMWF pointing to afternoon highs in the upper 90s. Recent days have featured mid-90s to near-100 readings amid the season’s first notable heat wave, though a subtle ridge shift and possible weak front are expected to limit further intensification and produce modest moderation early in the month. High humidity, light winds, and the urban heat island effect support readings near the 98–99°F range that currently carries the highest market-implied probability. Ensembles show limited spread, with only modest chances for 100°F+ if the ridge lingers or for sub-97°F outcomes if cloud cover or showers increase. Updated NHC and local model runs over the next 24 hours will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日のヒューストンの最高気温は？
8月2日のヒューストンの最高気温は？
98〜99°F 43%
100～101°F 30%
96〜97°F 19%
94〜95°F 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/02
91°F以下
1%
92～93°F
1%
94〜95°F
10%
96〜97°F
19%
98〜99°F
43%
100～101°F
30%
102～103°F
9%
104〜105°F
3%
106〜107°F
4%
108〜109°F
2%
華氏110度以上
<1%
98〜99°F 43%
100～101°F 30%
96〜97°F 19%
94〜95°F 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/02
91°F以下
$0 Vol.
1%
92～93°F
$10 Vol.
1%
94〜95°F
$0 Vol.
10%
96〜97°F
$0 Vol.
19%
98〜99°F
$48 Vol.
43%
100～101°F
$0 Vol.
30%
102～103°F
$0 Vol.
9%
104〜105°F
$1 Vol.
3%
106〜107°F
$0 Vol.
4%
108〜109°F
$0 Vol.
2%
華氏110度以上
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer high pressure and subsidence are keeping Houston under mostly clear, hot conditions for August 2, with model consensus from NWS and ECMWF pointing to afternoon highs in the upper 90s. Recent days have featured mid-90s to near-100 readings amid the season’s first notable heat wave, though a subtle ridge shift and possible weak front are expected to limit further intensification and produce modest moderation early in the month. High humidity, light winds, and the urban heat island effect support readings near the 98–99°F range that currently carries the highest market-implied probability. Ensembles show limited spread, with only modest chances for 100°F+ if the ridge lingers or for sub-97°F outcomes if cloud cover or showers increase. Updated NHC and local model runs over the next 24 hours will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
音量
$60終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer high pressure and subsidence are keeping Houston under mostly clear, hot conditions for August 2, with model consensus from NWS and ECMWF pointing to afternoon highs in the upper 90s. Recent days have featured mid-90s to near-100 readings amid the season’s first notable heat wave, though a subtle ridge shift and possible weak front are expected to limit further intensification and produce modest moderation early in the month. High humidity, light winds, and the urban heat island effect support readings near the 98–99°F range that currently carries the highest market-implied probability. Ensembles show limited spread, with only modest chances for 100°F+ if the ridge lingers or for sub-97°F outcomes if cloud cover or showers increase. Updated NHC and local model runs over the next 24 hours will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$60終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETPersistent summer high pressure and subsidence are keeping Houston under mostly clear, hot conditions for August 2, with model consensus from NWS and ECMWF pointing to afternoon highs in the upper 90s. Recent days have featured mid-90s to near-100 readings amid the season’s first notable heat wave, though a subtle ridge shift and possible weak front are expected to limit further intensification and produce modest moderation early in the month. High humidity, light winds, and the urban heat island effect support readings near the 98–99°F range that currently carries the highest market-implied probability. Ensembles show limited spread, with only modest chances for 100°F+ if the ridge lingers or for sub-97°F outcomes if cloud cover or showers increase. Updated NHC and local model runs over the next 24 hours will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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