Recent forecasts from multiple models show Buenos Aires maximum temperatures on September 11 likely peaking near 18–19°C under persistent cloud cover and southeasterly flow, which limits daytime heating and advects cooler maritime air. This follows a brief early-September warm spell that saw a 22.5°C peak on the 2nd, with subsequent cooling evident in official observations. Easterly winds and high humidity further suppress diurnal rise, consistent with typical early-spring climatology for the region. Trader positioning, led by 19°C at 36.5% implied probability, aligns closely with these consensus model runs ahead of official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional readings that will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月11日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は?
19℃ 38%
20℃ 22%
18℃ 19%
17℃ 9%
14℃以下
<1%
15℃
<1%
16℃
3%
17℃
9%
18℃
19%
19℃
38%
20℃
22%
21°C
8%
22℃
2%
23℃
1%
24℃以上
<1%
19℃ 38%
20℃ 22%
18℃ 19%
17℃ 9%
14℃以下
<1%
15℃
<1%
16℃
3%
17℃
9%
18℃
19%
19℃
38%
20℃
22%
21°C
8%
22℃
2%
23℃
1%
24℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 9, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models show Buenos Aires maximum temperatures on September 11 likely peaking near 18–19°C under persistent cloud cover and southeasterly flow, which limits daytime heating and advects cooler maritime air. This follows a brief early-September warm spell that saw a 22.5°C peak on the 2nd, with subsequent cooling evident in official observations. Easterly winds and high humidity further suppress diurnal rise, consistent with typical early-spring climatology for the region. Trader positioning, led by 19°C at 36.5% implied probability, aligns closely with these consensus model runs ahead of official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional readings that will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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