Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a peak near 24–26°C on September 25 in Buenos Aires, with northerly flow initially boosting warmth before a west-to-southwest shift and increasing cloud cover limit further gains. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 27–29°C because small variations in daytime insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and dew-point recovery can add or subtract 1–2°C at the daily maximum, especially under partly cloudy conditions. These outcomes sit above the September climatological mean of roughly 18–22°C, reflecting the current warm advection pattern, while official updates from Argentine meteorological services and refined afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月25日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は?
28°C 26%
29℃ 26%
27℃ 23%
30℃以上 20%
20℃以下
2%
21°C
2%
22℃
2%
23°C
3%
24℃
3%
25°C
13%
26℃
14%
27℃
23%
28°C
26%
29℃
26%
30℃以上
20%
28°C 26%
29℃ 26%
27℃ 23%
30℃以上 20%
20℃以下
2%
21°C
2%
22℃
2%
23°C
3%
24℃
3%
25°C
13%
26℃
14%
27℃
23%
28°C
26%
29℃
26%
30℃以上
20%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 23, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a peak near 24–26°C on September 25 in Buenos Aires, with northerly flow initially boosting warmth before a west-to-southwest shift and increasing cloud cover limit further gains. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 27–29°C because small variations in daytime insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and dew-point recovery can add or subtract 1–2°C at the daily maximum, especially under partly cloudy conditions. These outcomes sit above the September climatological mean of roughly 18–22°C, reflecting the current warm advection pattern, while official updates from Argentine meteorological services and refined afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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