**Recent forecast model runs position 27–29°C as the most probable range for São Paulo’s September 25 high temperature, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes (28°C at 38.5%, 29°C at 27%, 27°C at 23%).** Global models such as GFS indicate a daytime maximum near 28°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly or southeasterly flow, with minimal precipitation risk allowing strong solar heating. This aligns with a warming trend after cooler early-week conditions (highs in the mid-teens to low-20s °C). September climatology shows average highs around 25–26°C, so the current setup reflects modestly above-average spring warmth driven by clear-to-partly-cloudy conditions and weak winds that limit mixing. Model consensus and recent observational trends support the tight clustering around 28°C as the mode, while minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture explain the spread into the adjacent 27°C and 29°C bins. Traders appear to be weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance, which shows limited upside beyond 29°C or downside below 27°C given the expected diurnal heating profile. New model updates and official station observations tomorrow will provide the final resolution data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月25日のサンパウロの最高気温は？
9月25日のサンパウロの最高気温は？
28℃ 39%
29℃ 27%
27℃ 23%
26℃ 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/25
22℃以下
2%
23℃
2%
24℃
2%
25°C
4%
26℃
7%
27℃
23%
28℃
39%
29℃
27%
30℃
4%
31℃
<1%
32℃以上
<1%
28℃ 39%
29℃ 27%
27℃ 23%
26℃ 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/25
22℃以下
$0 Vol.
2%
23℃
$7 Vol.
2%
24℃
$161 Vol.
2%
25°C
$152 Vol.
4%
26℃
$226 Vol.
7%
27℃
$554 Vol.
23%
28℃
$386 Vol.
39%
29℃
$932 Vol.
27%
30℃
$216 Vol.
4%
31℃
$15 Vol.
<1%
32℃以上
$105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast model runs position 27–29°C as the most probable range for São Paulo’s September 25 high temperature, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes (28°C at 38.5%, 29°C at 27%, 27°C at 23%).**
Global models such as GFS indicate a daytime maximum near 28°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly or southeasterly flow, with minimal precipitation risk allowing strong solar heating. This aligns with a warming trend after cooler early-week conditions (highs in the mid-teens to low-20s °C). September climatology shows average highs around 25–26°C, so the current setup reflects modestly above-average spring warmth driven by clear-to-partly-cloudy conditions and weak winds that limit mixing.
Model consensus and recent observational trends support the tight clustering around 28°C as the mode, while minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture explain the spread into the adjacent 27°C and 29°C bins. Traders appear to be weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance, which shows limited upside beyond 29°C or downside below 27°C given the expected diurnal heating profile. New model updates and official station observations tomorrow will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 23, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
音量
$2,754終了日
2026/09/25マーケット開始日
Sep 23, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast model runs position 27–29°C as the most probable range for São Paulo’s September 25 high temperature, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes (28°C at 38.5%, 29°C at 27%, 27°C at 23%).**
Global models such as GFS indicate a daytime maximum near 28°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly or southeasterly flow, with minimal precipitation risk allowing strong solar heating. This aligns with a warming trend after cooler early-week conditions (highs in the mid-teens to low-20s °C). September climatology shows average highs around 25–26°C, so the current setup reflects modestly above-average spring warmth driven by clear-to-partly-cloudy conditions and weak winds that limit mixing.
Model consensus and recent observational trends support the tight clustering around 28°C as the mode, while minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture explain the spread into the adjacent 27°C and 29°C bins. Traders appear to be weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance, which shows limited upside beyond 29°C or downside below 27°C given the expected diurnal heating profile. New model updates and official station observations tomorrow will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,754終了日
2026/09/25マーケット開始日
Sep 23, 2026, 8:55 AM ET**Recent forecast model runs position 27–29°C as the most probable range for São Paulo’s September 25 high temperature, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes (28°C at 38.5%, 29°C at 27%, 27°C at 23%).** Global models such as GFS indicate a daytime maximum near 28°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly or southeasterly flow, with minimal precipitation risk allowing strong solar heating. This aligns with a warming trend after cooler early-week conditions (highs in the mid-teens to low-20s °C). September climatology shows average highs around 25–26°C, so the current setup reflects modestly above-average spring warmth driven by clear-to-partly-cloudy conditions and weak winds that limit mixing. Model consensus and recent observational trends support the tight clustering around 28°C as the mode, while minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture explain the spread into the adjacent 27°C and 29°C bins. Traders appear to be weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance, which shows limited upside beyond 29°C or downside below 27°C given the expected diurnal heating profile. New model updates and official station observations tomorrow will provide the final resolution data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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