Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and local meteorological services positions a daily maximum near 30–31°C for Panama City on September 25, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. In Panama’s tropical maritime climate during the peak rainy season, persistent moisture and cloud cover from the Intertropical Convergence Zone typically cap afternoon heating, while variable thunderstorm timing introduces modest upside risk for brief clearing that could push readings to 32°C. Official climatology shows September averages near 31°C, but current guidance indicates slightly suppressed insolation from expected showers, keeping the 33°C+ tail probability low. Traders are therefore pricing the narrow 30–32°C band most heavily, reflecting both historical precedent and the latest short-range forecast runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月25日のパナマシティの最高気温は？
9月25日のパナマシティの最高気温は？
31℃ 50%
30°C 24%
32°C 17%
29℃ 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/25
23℃以下
1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29℃
7%
30°C
24%
31℃
50%
32°C
17%
33℃以上
4%
31℃ 50%
30°C 24%
32°C 17%
29℃ 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/25
23℃以下
$65 Vol.
1%
24℃
$25 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$15 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$15 Vol.
1%
27°C
$10 Vol.
2%
28°C
$42 Vol.
3%
29℃
$39 Vol.
7%
30°C
$163 Vol.
24%
31℃
$304 Vol.
50%
32°C
$365 Vol.
17%
33℃以上
$88 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and local meteorological services positions a daily maximum near 30–31°C for Panama City on September 25, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. In Panama’s tropical maritime climate during the peak rainy season, persistent moisture and cloud cover from the Intertropical Convergence Zone typically cap afternoon heating, while variable thunderstorm timing introduces modest upside risk for brief clearing that could push readings to 32°C. Official climatology shows September averages near 31°C, but current guidance indicates slightly suppressed insolation from expected showers, keeping the 33°C+ tail probability low. Traders are therefore pricing the narrow 30–32°C band most heavily, reflecting both historical precedent and the latest short-range forecast runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 23, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
音量
$1,131終了日
2026/09/25マーケット開始日
Sep 23, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and local meteorological services positions a daily maximum near 30–31°C for Panama City on September 25, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. In Panama’s tropical maritime climate during the peak rainy season, persistent moisture and cloud cover from the Intertropical Convergence Zone typically cap afternoon heating, while variable thunderstorm timing introduces modest upside risk for brief clearing that could push readings to 32°C. Official climatology shows September averages near 31°C, but current guidance indicates slightly suppressed insolation from expected showers, keeping the 33°C+ tail probability low. Traders are therefore pricing the narrow 30–32°C band most heavily, reflecting both historical precedent and the latest short-range forecast runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,131終了日
2026/09/25マーケット開始日
Sep 23, 2026, 8:56 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources like the GFS and local meteorological services positions a daily maximum near 30–31°C for Panama City on September 25, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. In Panama’s tropical maritime climate during the peak rainy season, persistent moisture and cloud cover from the Intertropical Convergence Zone typically cap afternoon heating, while variable thunderstorm timing introduces modest upside risk for brief clearing that could push readings to 32°C. Official climatology shows September averages near 31°C, but current guidance indicates slightly suppressed insolation from expected showers, keeping the 33°C+ tail probability low. Traders are therefore pricing the narrow 30–32°C band most heavily, reflecting both historical precedent and the latest short-range forecast runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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