Trader consensus in the Chicago daily high temperature market centers on 84–87°F ranges as the most probable outcomes, driven by the latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance showing a modest warming trend amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Persistent morning cloud cover and scattered showers earlier in the period have suppressed readings below the 83.5°F climatological normal for August 7, but recent model runs indicate clearing conditions could allow afternoon temperatures to reach the mid-80s at official stations like Midway or O’Hare. Lake Michigan’s moderating effect and any residual moisture keep extreme outliers (below 80°F or above 90°F) at very low implied probabilities, consistent with ensemble spread and historical variability for early-August setups.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日のシカゴの最高気温は？
8月7日のシカゴの最高気温は？
84〜85°F 41%
86～87°F 30%
82〜83°F 21%
88〜89°F 7%
新規
$10,955 Vol.
新規
$10,955 Vol.
2026/08/07
75°F以下
1%
76～77°F
<1%
78～79°F
<1%
80〜81°F
2%
82〜83°F
21%
84〜85°F
41%
86～87°F
30%
88〜89°F
7%
90～91°F
1%
92～93°F
1%
94°F以上
1%
84〜85°F 41%
86～87°F 30%
82〜83°F 21%
88〜89°F 7%
新規
$10,955 Vol.
新規
$10,955 Vol.
2026/08/07
75°F以下
$1,374 Vol.
1%
76～77°F
$925 Vol.
<1%
78～79°F
$313 Vol.
<1%
80〜81°F
$395 Vol.
2%
82〜83°F
$1,791 Vol.
21%
84〜85°F
$1,252 Vol.
41%
86～87°F
$1,371 Vol.
30%
88〜89°F
$440 Vol.
7%
90～91°F
$1,670 Vol.
1%
92～93°F
$292 Vol.
1%
94°F以上
$1,132 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Chicago daily high temperature market centers on 84–87°F ranges as the most probable outcomes, driven by the latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance showing a modest warming trend amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Persistent morning cloud cover and scattered showers earlier in the period have suppressed readings below the 83.5°F climatological normal for August 7, but recent model runs indicate clearing conditions could allow afternoon temperatures to reach the mid-80s at official stations like Midway or O’Hare. Lake Michigan’s moderating effect and any residual moisture keep extreme outliers (below 80°F or above 90°F) at very low implied probabilities, consistent with ensemble spread and historical variability for early-August setups.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
音量
$10,955終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Chicago daily high temperature market centers on 84–87°F ranges as the most probable outcomes, driven by the latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance showing a modest warming trend amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Persistent morning cloud cover and scattered showers earlier in the period have suppressed readings below the 83.5°F climatological normal for August 7, but recent model runs indicate clearing conditions could allow afternoon temperatures to reach the mid-80s at official stations like Midway or O’Hare. Lake Michigan’s moderating effect and any residual moisture keep extreme outliers (below 80°F or above 90°F) at very low implied probabilities, consistent with ensemble spread and historical variability for early-August setups.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$10,955終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETTrader consensus in the Chicago daily high temperature market centers on 84–87°F ranges as the most probable outcomes, driven by the latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance showing a modest warming trend amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Persistent morning cloud cover and scattered showers earlier in the period have suppressed readings below the 83.5°F climatological normal for August 7, but recent model runs indicate clearing conditions could allow afternoon temperatures to reach the mid-80s at official stations like Midway or O’Hare. Lake Michigan’s moderating effect and any residual moisture keep extreme outliers (below 80°F or above 90°F) at very low implied probabilities, consistent with ensemble spread and historical variability for early-August setups.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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