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3月29日のダラスの最高気温は？

Market icon

3月29日のダラスの最高気温は？

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

82〜83°F 30%

80～81°F 23%

84〜85°F 22%

78～79°F 12%

Polymarket

$14,338 Vol.

82〜83°F 30%

80～81°F 23%

84〜85°F 22%

78～79°F 12%

Polymarket

$14,338 Vol.

73°F以下

$1,137 Vol.

<1%

74〜75°F

$778 Vol.

1%

76～77°F

$1,021 Vol.

5%

78～79°F

$1,312 Vol.

12%

80～81°F

$1,238 Vol.

23%

82〜83°F

$935 Vol.

30%

84〜85°F

$1,001 Vol.

22%

86〜87°F

$1,079 Vol.

2%

88～89°F

$1,613 Vol.

1%

90〜91°F

$3,019 Vol.

<1%

92°F以上

$1,215 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Dallas's highest temperature on March 29, with NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering outcomes in the 82-85°F range amid a strong upper-level ridge over the southern Plains promoting subsidence, clear skies, and southerly winds. Yesterday's 00z model runs showed minor divergence—the GFS slightly warmer at 84-85°F peaks due to enhanced downslope flow, while the ECMWF favors 82-83°F with potential afternoon cloudiness—driving the near-even split between these bins at 28.5% and 26.0%. Above-normal warmth stems from persistent ridging, 10-15°F above the March climatological average of 72°F, though slight timing shifts in the jet stream could differentiate outcomes; watch National Weather Service updates from today's 12z runs for refinements.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$14,338
終了日
Mar 29, 2026
マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Dallas's highest temperature on March 29, with NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering outcomes in the 82-85°F range amid a strong upper-level ridge over the southern Plains promoting subsidence, clear skies, and southerly winds. Yesterday's 00z model runs showed minor divergence—the GFS slightly warmer at 84-85°F peaks due to enhanced downslope flow, while the ECMWF favors 82-83°F with potential afternoon cloudiness—driving the near-even split between these bins at 28.5% and 26.0%. Above-normal warmth stems from persistent ridging, 10-15°F above the March climatological average of 72°F, though slight timing shifts in the jet stream could differentiate outcomes; watch National Weather Service updates from today's 12z runs for refinements.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Dallas's highest temperature on March 29, with NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering outcomes in the 82-85°F range amid a strong upper-level ridge over the southern Plains promoting subsidence, clear skies, and southerly winds. Yesterday's 00z model runs showed minor divergence—the GFS slightly warmer at 84-85°F peaks due to enhanced downslope flow, while the ECMWF favors 82-83°F with potential afternoon cloudiness—driving the near-even split between these bins at 28.5% and 26.0%. Above-normal warmth stems from persistent ridging, 10-15°F above the March climatological average of 72°F, though slight timing shifts in the jet stream could differentiate outcomes; watch National Weather Service updates from today's 12z runs for refinements.

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よくある質問

「3月29日のダラスの最高気温は？」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「82〜83°F」で30%、次いで「80～81°F」が23%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、30¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に30%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「3月29日のダラスの最高気温は？」は$14.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 25, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「3月29日のダラスの最高気温は？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「3月29日のダラスの最高気温は？」の現在のフロントランナーは「82〜83°F」で30%であり、市場がこの結果に30%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「80～81°F」で23%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「3月29日のダラスの最高気温は？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。