Trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors 33°C (24.5% implied probability) as Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 19, driven by the latest forecast ensembles from sources like AccuWeather and TimeandDate projecting daytime highs of 89–91°F (32–33°C) under a subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and warmth. This edges out 31–32°C (20.5% each) due to high humidity (70–80%) and urban heat island effects amplifying peaks above the April climatological average of 27°C, amid recent above-normal trends in Guangdong with highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Differentiating factors include afternoon thunderstorm potential—timing and coverage could cap temperatures at 31°C via cloud-induced cooling, while clearer skies enable 33°C—highlighting model divergences in convective activity. New GFS and ECMWF updates expected within 24 hours may refine this uncertainty as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 19?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 19?
33°C 25%
32°C 22%
31°C 21%
34°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/04/19
27°C or below
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
9%
30°C
12%
31°C
21%
32°C
22%
33°C
25%
34°C
12%
35°C
4%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 25%
32°C 22%
31°C 21%
34°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/04/19
27°C or below
$274 Vol.
2%
28°C
$85 Vol.
7%
29°C
$132 Vol.
9%
30°C
$8 Vol.
12%
31°C
$50 Vol.
21%
32°C
$8 Vol.
22%
33°C
$39 Vol.
25%
34°C
$30 Vol.
12%
35°C
$206 Vol.
4%
36°C
$499 Vol.
3%
37°C or higher
$245 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors 33°C (24.5% implied probability) as Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 19, driven by the latest forecast ensembles from sources like AccuWeather and TimeandDate projecting daytime highs of 89–91°F (32–33°C) under a subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and warmth. This edges out 31–32°C (20.5% each) due to high humidity (70–80%) and urban heat island effects amplifying peaks above the April climatological average of 27°C, amid recent above-normal trends in Guangdong with highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Differentiating factors include afternoon thunderstorm potential—timing and coverage could cap temperatures at 31°C via cloud-induced cooling, while clearer skies enable 33°C—highlighting model divergences in convective activity. New GFS and ECMWF updates expected within 24 hours may refine this uncertainty as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
音量
$1,576終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors 33°C (24.5% implied probability) as Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 19, driven by the latest forecast ensembles from sources like AccuWeather and TimeandDate projecting daytime highs of 89–91°F (32–33°C) under a subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and warmth. This edges out 31–32°C (20.5% each) due to high humidity (70–80%) and urban heat island effects amplifying peaks above the April climatological average of 27°C, amid recent above-normal trends in Guangdong with highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Differentiating factors include afternoon thunderstorm potential—timing and coverage could cap temperatures at 31°C via cloud-induced cooling, while clearer skies enable 33°C—highlighting model divergences in convective activity. New GFS and ECMWF updates expected within 24 hours may refine this uncertainty as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,576終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors 33°C (24.5% implied probability) as Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 19, driven by the latest forecast ensembles from sources like AccuWeather and TimeandDate projecting daytime highs of 89–91°F (32–33°C) under a subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and warmth. This edges out 31–32°C (20.5% each) due to high humidity (70–80%) and urban heat island effects amplifying peaks above the April climatological average of 27°C, amid recent above-normal trends in Guangdong with highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Differentiating factors include afternoon thunderstorm potential—timing and coverage could cap temperatures at 31°C via cloud-induced cooling, while clearer skies enable 33°C—highlighting model divergences in convective activity. New GFS and ECMWF updates expected within 24 hours may refine this uncertainty as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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