Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 8, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and high humidity that limit nocturnal cooling and enhance daytime heating. Recent observations show daily maxima climbing from 34–36°C earlier in the week toward 36–37°C on August 7, with limited cloud cover and no immediate tropical cyclone influence expected to alter the pattern. These conditions align with climatological norms for early August in the Pearl River Delta, where extremes above 39°C or below 37°C remain less probable without a significant shift in steering flows or moisture. Traders appear to weight the tight forecast spread around 37–39°C, reflecting both historical August baselines and the narrow uncertainty window before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月8日の広州の最高気温は?
38℃ 54%
37℃ 27%
39℃ 14%
36℃ 5%
$13,916 Vol.
$13,916 Vol.
31℃以下
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃
<1%
34℃
1%
35°C
1%
36℃
5%
37℃
27%
38℃
54%
39℃
14%
40°C
3%
41°C以上
<1%
38℃ 54%
37℃ 27%
39℃ 14%
36℃ 5%
$13,916 Vol.
$13,916 Vol.
31℃以下
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃
<1%
34℃
1%
35°C
1%
36℃
5%
37℃
27%
38℃
54%
39℃
14%
40°C
3%
41°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 8, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and high humidity that limit nocturnal cooling and enhance daytime heating. Recent observations show daily maxima climbing from 34–36°C earlier in the week toward 36–37°C on August 7, with limited cloud cover and no immediate tropical cyclone influence expected to alter the pattern. These conditions align with climatological norms for early August in the Pearl River Delta, where extremes above 39°C or below 37°C remain less probable without a significant shift in steering flows or moisture. Traders appear to weight the tight forecast spread around 37–39°C, reflecting both historical August baselines and the narrow uncertainty window before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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