Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 13°C (41%) and 12°C (31%) as Istanbul's highest temperature today at Istanbul Airport, reflecting Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) guidance for below-seasonal-norm highs through April 15 amid a persistent cold air mass advected from the Balkans since early this week. Northerly poyraz winds and cloudy conditions have suppressed daytime heating, consistent with yesterday's observed peak near 13°C and latest GFS/ECMWF model runs projecting 2-meter maxima of 12–14°C. April norms average 15–16°C, but this cool anomaly—marked by a cold front arrival around April 8–10—drives the skewed odds. Hourly observations and afternoon soundings could shift probabilities slightly, though higher outcomes remain unlikely without clearing skies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 15?
13°C 40%
12°C 31%
14°C 21%
15°C 4.7%
新規
$26,021 Vol.
新規
$26,021 Vol.
2026/04/15
10°C or below
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
31%
13°C
40%
14°C
21%
15°C
5%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
13°C 40%
12°C 31%
14°C 21%
15°C 4.7%
新規
$26,021 Vol.
新規
$26,021 Vol.
2026/04/15
10°C or below
$2,730 Vol.
1%
11°C
$2,900 Vol.
3%
12°C
$677 Vol.
31%
13°C
$1,131 Vol.
40%
14°C
$781 Vol.
21%
15°C
$4,321 Vol.
5%
16°C
$4,638 Vol.
2%
17°C
$4,129 Vol.
2%
18°C
$1,592 Vol.
1%
19°C
$639 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$2,484 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 13°C (41%) and 12°C (31%) as Istanbul's highest temperature today at Istanbul Airport, reflecting Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) guidance for below-seasonal-norm highs through April 15 amid a persistent cold air mass advected from the Balkans since early this week. Northerly poyraz winds and cloudy conditions have suppressed daytime heating, consistent with yesterday's observed peak near 13°C and latest GFS/ECMWF model runs projecting 2-meter maxima of 12–14°C. April norms average 15–16°C, but this cool anomaly—marked by a cold front arrival around April 8–10—drives the skewed odds. Hourly observations and afternoon soundings could shift probabilities slightly, though higher outcomes remain unlikely without clearing skies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
音量
$26,021終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 13°C (41%) and 12°C (31%) as Istanbul's highest temperature today at Istanbul Airport, reflecting Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) guidance for below-seasonal-norm highs through April 15 amid a persistent cold air mass advected from the Balkans since early this week. Northerly poyraz winds and cloudy conditions have suppressed daytime heating, consistent with yesterday's observed peak near 13°C and latest GFS/ECMWF model runs projecting 2-meter maxima of 12–14°C. April norms average 15–16°C, but this cool anomaly—marked by a cold front arrival around April 8–10—drives the skewed odds. Hourly observations and afternoon soundings could shift probabilities slightly, though higher outcomes remain unlikely without clearing skies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$26,021終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 13°C (41%) and 12°C (31%) as Istanbul's highest temperature today at Istanbul Airport, reflecting Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) guidance for below-seasonal-norm highs through April 15 amid a persistent cold air mass advected from the Balkans since early this week. Northerly poyraz winds and cloudy conditions have suppressed daytime heating, consistent with yesterday's observed peak near 13°C and latest GFS/ECMWF model runs projecting 2-meter maxima of 12–14°C. April norms average 15–16°C, but this cool anomaly—marked by a cold front arrival around April 8–10—drives the skewed odds. Hourly observations and afternoon soundings could shift probabilities slightly, though higher outcomes remain unlikely without clearing skies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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