Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including AccuWeather and BBC Weather, indicate a high of 32–35°C for Jinan on August 20, 2026, well above the 26°C threshold. This consensus reflects typical late-summer conditions in Shandong province, where daytime highs frequently exceed 30°C amid humid subtropical air masses and light winds. Model agreement across agencies reinforces the market-implied 99.3% probability for 26°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated cold front or major forecast revision within the final 24 hours, though historical patterns and current steering patterns make such a shift unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月20日の済南の最高気温は?
26°C or higher 99.4%
18°C <1%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99.4%
18°C <1%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including AccuWeather and BBC Weather, indicate a high of 32–35°C for Jinan on August 20, 2026, well above the 26°C threshold. This consensus reflects typical late-summer conditions in Shandong province, where daytime highs frequently exceed 30°C amid humid subtropical air masses and light winds. Model agreement across agencies reinforces the market-implied 99.3% probability for 26°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated cold front or major forecast revision within the final 24 hours, though historical patterns and current steering patterns make such a shift unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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