Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple agencies project maximum temperatures of 31–34°C in Jinan on September 7, driven by persistent warm, mostly clear conditions ahead of an approaching cooler front. This late-summer pattern, typical for Shandong province before seasonal cooling accelerates, underpins the market's overwhelming 99% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Model consensus across sources shows minimal day-to-day variability in the short-term outlook, though small revisions in steering winds or cloud cover could trim the peak by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh the high reliability of near-term numerical weather prediction against the limited window for significant change before the day begins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月7日の済南の最高気温は?
26℃以上 98%
18℃ 4%
19°C 4%
20℃ 4%
16℃以下
2%
17℃
1%
18℃
4%
19°C
4%
20℃
4%
21℃
4%
22℃
4%
23°C
4%
24℃
4%
25°C
2%
26℃以上
98%
26℃以上 98%
18℃ 4%
19°C 4%
20℃ 4%
16℃以下
2%
17℃
1%
18℃
4%
19°C
4%
20℃
4%
21℃
4%
22℃
4%
23°C
4%
24℃
4%
25°C
2%
26℃以上
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple agencies project maximum temperatures of 31–34°C in Jinan on September 7, driven by persistent warm, mostly clear conditions ahead of an approaching cooler front. This late-summer pattern, typical for Shandong province before seasonal cooling accelerates, underpins the market's overwhelming 99% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Model consensus across sources shows minimal day-to-day variability in the short-term outlook, though small revisions in steering winds or cloud cover could trim the peak by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh the high reliability of near-term numerical weather prediction against the limited window for significant change before the day begins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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