Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and complementary models indicate a modest cooling trend for Madrid on August 3, driven by increasing cloud cover and the potential for scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Official guidance from AEMET shows a projected daytime maximum near 33 °C, consistent with the market’s leading outcome, while ensemble spreads place the bulk of probability between 32–34 °C. This follows an earlier heatwave episode that produced 35–38 °C readings in late July, but steering patterns and Atlantic moisture influx are expected to cap temperatures just below the recent peak. Traders are therefore positioning around the narrow 32–34 °C window, reflecting both the consensus forecast and the inherent uncertainty range of 1–2 °C typical for 48-hour temperature predictions in the region.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月3日のマドリードの最高気温は？
8月3日のマドリードの最高気温は？
33°C 51%
32°C 27%
34°C 22%
31°C 3%
新規
新規
2026/08/03
29°C or below
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
27%
33°C
51%
34°C
22%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 51%
32°C 27%
34°C 22%
31°C 3%
新規
新規
2026/08/03
29°C or below
$10 Vol.
2%
30°C
$20 Vol.
2%
31°C
$23 Vol.
3%
32°C
$56 Vol.
27%
33°C
$100 Vol.
51%
34°C
$22 Vol.
22%
35°C
$17 Vol.
3%
36°C
$20 Vol.
2%
37°C
$18 Vol.
2%
38°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$30 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and complementary models indicate a modest cooling trend for Madrid on August 3, driven by increasing cloud cover and the potential for scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Official guidance from AEMET shows a projected daytime maximum near 33 °C, consistent with the market’s leading outcome, while ensemble spreads place the bulk of probability between 32–34 °C. This follows an earlier heatwave episode that produced 35–38 °C readings in late July, but steering patterns and Atlantic moisture influx are expected to cap temperatures just below the recent peak. Traders are therefore positioning around the narrow 32–34 °C window, reflecting both the consensus forecast and the inherent uncertainty range of 1–2 °C typical for 48-hour temperature predictions in the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$346終了日
2026/08/03マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and complementary models indicate a modest cooling trend for Madrid on August 3, driven by increasing cloud cover and the potential for scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Official guidance from AEMET shows a projected daytime maximum near 33 °C, consistent with the market’s leading outcome, while ensemble spreads place the bulk of probability between 32–34 °C. This follows an earlier heatwave episode that produced 35–38 °C readings in late July, but steering patterns and Atlantic moisture influx are expected to cap temperatures just below the recent peak. Traders are therefore positioning around the narrow 32–34 °C window, reflecting both the consensus forecast and the inherent uncertainty range of 1–2 °C typical for 48-hour temperature predictions in the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$346終了日
2026/08/03マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and complementary models indicate a modest cooling trend for Madrid on August 3, driven by increasing cloud cover and the potential for scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Official guidance from AEMET shows a projected daytime maximum near 33 °C, consistent with the market’s leading outcome, while ensemble spreads place the bulk of probability between 32–34 °C. This follows an earlier heatwave episode that produced 35–38 °C readings in late July, but steering patterns and Atlantic moisture influx are expected to cap temperatures just below the recent peak. Traders are therefore positioning around the narrow 32–34 °C window, reflecting both the consensus forecast and the inherent uncertainty range of 1–2 °C typical for 48-hour temperature predictions in the region.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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