Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 84-85°F (47.5%) in Miami on April 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and blended GFS-ECMWF model ensembles converging on mid-80s peaks amid a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence warming, light east winds, and ample sunshine. This aligns closely with the climatological normal of 84°F for mid-April, following cooler highs near 80°F on April 15 under lingering clouds, with minor model divergences introducing uncertainty around 82-87°F outcomes. A potential cold front trailing the recent heat wave adds slight downward pressure, though official forecasts hold steady; final observations from Miami International Airport will resolve the market tomorrow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月18日のマイアミの最高気温は？
4月18日のマイアミの最高気温は？
84-85°F 47%
82-83°F 26%
86-87°F 22%
88-89°F 3.3%
新規
$16,152 Vol.
新規
$16,152 Vol.
2026/04/18
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
47%
86-87°F
22%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 47%
82-83°F 26%
86-87°F 22%
88-89°F 3.3%
新規
$16,152 Vol.
新規
$16,152 Vol.
2026/04/18
73°F or below
$1,373 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$881 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$975 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$1,374 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$2,823 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$1,821 Vol.
26%
84-85°F
$1,687 Vol.
47%
86-87°F
$1,880 Vol.
22%
88-89°F
$1,387 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$876 Vol.
1%
92°F or higher
$1,085 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 84-85°F (47.5%) in Miami on April 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and blended GFS-ECMWF model ensembles converging on mid-80s peaks amid a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence warming, light east winds, and ample sunshine. This aligns closely with the climatological normal of 84°F for mid-April, following cooler highs near 80°F on April 15 under lingering clouds, with minor model divergences introducing uncertainty around 82-87°F outcomes. A potential cold front trailing the recent heat wave adds slight downward pressure, though official forecasts hold steady; final observations from Miami International Airport will resolve the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
音量
$16,152終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 84-85°F (47.5%) in Miami on April 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and blended GFS-ECMWF model ensembles converging on mid-80s peaks amid a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence warming, light east winds, and ample sunshine. This aligns closely with the climatological normal of 84°F for mid-April, following cooler highs near 80°F on April 15 under lingering clouds, with minor model divergences introducing uncertainty around 82-87°F outcomes. A potential cold front trailing the recent heat wave adds slight downward pressure, though official forecasts hold steady; final observations from Miami International Airport will resolve the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$16,152終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 84-85°F (47.5%) in Miami on April 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and blended GFS-ECMWF model ensembles converging on mid-80s peaks amid a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence warming, light east winds, and ample sunshine. This aligns closely with the climatological normal of 84°F for mid-April, following cooler highs near 80°F on April 15 under lingering clouds, with minor model divergences introducing uncertainty around 82-87°F outcomes. A potential cold front trailing the recent heat wave adds slight downward pressure, though official forecasts hold steady; final observations from Miami International Airport will resolve the market tomorrow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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