Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs places Milan’s September 18 maximum near 22–24 °C, producing the tightest market clustering around those three outcomes. Persistent easterly flow advects slightly cooler, more humid air while variable low-to-mid cloud cover modulates insolation and boundary-layer mixing; lighter showers in some ensembles further cap peaks. Dew points near 16 °C limit surface heating, and small differences in timing of clearing or wind speed explain the narrow spread between 22 °C, 23 °C, and 24 °C. The next high-resolution model cycles and real-time station observations will refine the final recorded maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日のミラノの最高気温は?
23℃ 37%
24℃ 30%
22℃ 20%
25°C以上 11%
15℃以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17℃
<1%
18℃
<1%
19℃
1%
20℃
1%
21℃
5%
22℃
20%
23℃
37%
24℃
30%
25°C以上
11%
23℃ 37%
24℃ 30%
22℃ 20%
25°C以上 11%
15℃以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17℃
<1%
18℃
<1%
19℃
1%
20℃
1%
21℃
5%
22℃
20%
23℃
37%
24℃
30%
25°C以上
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs places Milan’s September 18 maximum near 22–24 °C, producing the tightest market clustering around those three outcomes. Persistent easterly flow advects slightly cooler, more humid air while variable low-to-mid cloud cover modulates insolation and boundary-layer mixing; lighter showers in some ensembles further cap peaks. Dew points near 16 °C limit surface heating, and small differences in timing of clearing or wind speed explain the narrow spread between 22 °C, 23 °C, and 24 °C. The next high-resolution model cycles and real-time station observations will refine the final recorded maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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