Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 71.5% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Panama City on April 18, reflecting strong alignment with short-term forecast model runs from ECMWF and GFS, which project peak temperatures near 33-34°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and radiative heating. Recent observations at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport show daily highs consistently in the low 30s°C over the past week, with negligible precipitation extending dry-season patterns and limiting cooling. April climatology averages 31-32°C highs, but amplified subsidence and low humidity boost intensification potential. Key updates from Panama's ETESA meteorological service and model ensembles expected April 17 could adjust trajectories amid inherent forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Panama City on April 18?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 18?
32°C or higher 72%
31°C 18%
30°C 11%
29°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/04/18
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
8%
30°C
11%
31°C
18%
32°C or higher
70%
32°C or higher 72%
31°C 18%
30°C 11%
29°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/04/18
22°C or below
$457 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$428 Vol.
1%
24°C
$429 Vol.
1%
25°C
$434 Vol.
1%
26°C
$251 Vol.
1%
27°C
$85 Vol.
2%
28°C
$37 Vol.
5%
29°C
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C
$0 Vol.
11%
31°C
$0 Vol.
18%
32°C or higher
$82 Vol.
70%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 71.5% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Panama City on April 18, reflecting strong alignment with short-term forecast model runs from ECMWF and GFS, which project peak temperatures near 33-34°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and radiative heating. Recent observations at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport show daily highs consistently in the low 30s°C over the past week, with negligible precipitation extending dry-season patterns and limiting cooling. April climatology averages 31-32°C highs, but amplified subsidence and low humidity boost intensification potential. Key updates from Panama's ETESA meteorological service and model ensembles expected April 17 could adjust trajectories amid inherent forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$2,183終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 71.5% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Panama City on April 18, reflecting strong alignment with short-term forecast model runs from ECMWF and GFS, which project peak temperatures near 33-34°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and radiative heating. Recent observations at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport show daily highs consistently in the low 30s°C over the past week, with negligible precipitation extending dry-season patterns and limiting cooling. April climatology averages 31-32°C highs, but amplified subsidence and low humidity boost intensification potential. Key updates from Panama's ETESA meteorological service and model ensembles expected April 17 could adjust trajectories amid inherent forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$2,183終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 71.5% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Panama City on April 18, reflecting strong alignment with short-term forecast model runs from ECMWF and GFS, which project peak temperatures near 33-34°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and radiative heating. Recent observations at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport show daily highs consistently in the low 30s°C over the past week, with negligible precipitation extending dry-season patterns and limiting cooling. April climatology averages 31-32°C highs, but amplified subsidence and low humidity boost intensification potential. Key updates from Panama's ETESA meteorological service and model ensembles expected April 17 could adjust trajectories amid inherent forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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