Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in São Paulo on April 19, 2026, anchored by official observations from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport meteorological station, the market's designated resolution source per Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) protocols. A persistent mass of dry subtropical air suppressed cloud cover in the afternoon, allowing surface heating to peak at 28°C despite pre-event INMET forecasts of 26–27°C under partly cloudy conditions with low humidity around 50%. This aligns with historical April climatology for the region, where airport readings often exceed city averages by 1–2°C due to urban heat effects and exposure. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as data revisions from extended observations or instrument recalibration—are exceedingly rare, as INMET finalizes daily maxima within 24 hours using standardized World Meteorological Organization guidelines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 19?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 19?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$75,899 Vol.
$75,899 Vol.
2026/04/19
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$75,899 Vol.
$75,899 Vol.
2026/04/19
23°C or below
$2,264 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,882 Vol.
No
25°C
$10,658 Vol.
No
26°C
$13,157 Vol.
No
27°C
$10,005 Vol.
No
28°C
$10,443 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$9,735 Vol.
No
30°C
$7,576 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,390 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,512 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$2,276 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in São Paulo on April 19, 2026, anchored by official observations from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport meteorological station, the market's designated resolution source per Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) protocols. A persistent mass of dry subtropical air suppressed cloud cover in the afternoon, allowing surface heating to peak at 28°C despite pre-event INMET forecasts of 26–27°C under partly cloudy conditions with low humidity around 50%. This aligns with historical April climatology for the region, where airport readings often exceed city averages by 1–2°C due to urban heat effects and exposure. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as data revisions from extended observations or instrument recalibration—are exceedingly rare, as INMET finalizes daily maxima within 24 hours using standardized World Meteorological Organization guidelines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$75,899終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in São Paulo on April 19, 2026, anchored by official observations from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport meteorological station, the market's designated resolution source per Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) protocols. A persistent mass of dry subtropical air suppressed cloud cover in the afternoon, allowing surface heating to peak at 28°C despite pre-event INMET forecasts of 26–27°C under partly cloudy conditions with low humidity around 50%. This aligns with historical April climatology for the region, where airport readings often exceed city averages by 1–2°C due to urban heat effects and exposure. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as data revisions from extended observations or instrument recalibration—are exceedingly rare, as INMET finalizes daily maxima within 24 hours using standardized World Meteorological Organization guidelines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$75,899終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in São Paulo on April 19, 2026, anchored by official observations from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport meteorological station, the market's designated resolution source per Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) protocols. A persistent mass of dry subtropical air suppressed cloud cover in the afternoon, allowing surface heating to peak at 28°C despite pre-event INMET forecasts of 26–27°C under partly cloudy conditions with low humidity around 50%. This aligns with historical April climatology for the region, where airport readings often exceed city averages by 1–2°C due to urban heat effects and exposure. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as data revisions from extended observations or instrument recalibration—are exceedingly rare, as INMET finalizes daily maxima within 24 hours using standardized World Meteorological Organization guidelines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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