Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 19, with 27°C leading at 27% implied probability, closely trailed by 26°C (25.5%) and 29°C (24.5%), driven by INMET's latest projection of a 27°C maximum amid mostly cloudy skies and possible isolated showers. Differentiating factors include divergent global model runs—ECMWF leaning slightly cooler due to enhanced sea breeze moderation, while GFS shows potential for 28-29°C if high-pressure ridging strengthens—compounded by urban heat island effects in the metropolis and residual moisture from recent frontal passages. April 2026 has trended 1.5°C above the 21°C monthly mean, but cloud cover timing remains pivotal; expect refined odds from INMET's April 18 update and new ensemble forecasts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 19?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 19?
27°C 30%
29°C 24%
28°C 21%
25°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/19
23°C or below
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
13%
26°C
22%
27°C
30%
28°C
27%
29°C
25%
30°C
10%
31°C
6%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
27°C 30%
29°C 24%
28°C 21%
25°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/19
23°C or below
$183 Vol.
2%
24°C
$11 Vol.
6%
25°C
$4 Vol.
13%
26°C
$4 Vol.
22%
27°C
$9 Vol.
30%
28°C
$4 Vol.
27%
29°C
$26 Vol.
25%
30°C
$9 Vol.
10%
31°C
$30 Vol.
6%
32°C
$31 Vol.
3%
33°C or higher
$50 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 19, with 27°C leading at 27% implied probability, closely trailed by 26°C (25.5%) and 29°C (24.5%), driven by INMET's latest projection of a 27°C maximum amid mostly cloudy skies and possible isolated showers. Differentiating factors include divergent global model runs—ECMWF leaning slightly cooler due to enhanced sea breeze moderation, while GFS shows potential for 28-29°C if high-pressure ridging strengthens—compounded by urban heat island effects in the metropolis and residual moisture from recent frontal passages. April 2026 has trended 1.5°C above the 21°C monthly mean, but cloud cover timing remains pivotal; expect refined odds from INMET's April 18 update and new ensemble forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$307終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 19, with 27°C leading at 27% implied probability, closely trailed by 26°C (25.5%) and 29°C (24.5%), driven by INMET's latest projection of a 27°C maximum amid mostly cloudy skies and possible isolated showers. Differentiating factors include divergent global model runs—ECMWF leaning slightly cooler due to enhanced sea breeze moderation, while GFS shows potential for 28-29°C if high-pressure ridging strengthens—compounded by urban heat island effects in the metropolis and residual moisture from recent frontal passages. April 2026 has trended 1.5°C above the 21°C monthly mean, but cloud cover timing remains pivotal; expect refined odds from INMET's April 18 update and new ensemble forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$307終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 19, with 27°C leading at 27% implied probability, closely trailed by 26°C (25.5%) and 29°C (24.5%), driven by INMET's latest projection of a 27°C maximum amid mostly cloudy skies and possible isolated showers. Differentiating factors include divergent global model runs—ECMWF leaning slightly cooler due to enhanced sea breeze moderation, while GFS shows potential for 28-29°C if high-pressure ridging strengthens—compounded by urban heat island effects in the metropolis and residual moisture from recent frontal passages. April 2026 has trended 1.5°C above the 21°C monthly mean, but cloud cover timing remains pivotal; expect refined odds from INMET's April 18 update and new ensemble forecasts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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