Traders assign nearly equal weight to 21°C and 22°C for São Paulo’s August 26 high because multiple forecast models show afternoon maxima hovering near these thresholds amid persistent cloud cover and light easterly winds. Recent analyses indicate a moist air mass and possible brief drizzle will limit solar heating, preventing stronger warming while still allowing readings to reach the low 20s Celsius in central districts. This setup aligns with typical late-winter conditions influenced by the South Atlantic subtropical high, where daytime cloud fraction and boundary-layer moisture directly control the daily peak. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 24 hours will clarify whether clearing occurs early enough to push the maximum toward 22–23°C or remains suppressed near 21°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
22°C 28%
21°C 28%
23°C 18%
20°C 13%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
13%
21°C
28%
22°C
28%
23°C
18%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 28%
21°C 28%
23°C 18%
20°C 13%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
13%
21°C
28%
22°C
28%
23°C
18%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders assign nearly equal weight to 21°C and 22°C for São Paulo’s August 26 high because multiple forecast models show afternoon maxima hovering near these thresholds amid persistent cloud cover and light easterly winds. Recent analyses indicate a moist air mass and possible brief drizzle will limit solar heating, preventing stronger warming while still allowing readings to reach the low 20s Celsius in central districts. This setup aligns with typical late-winter conditions influenced by the South Atlantic subtropical high, where daytime cloud fraction and boundary-layer moisture directly control the daily peak. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 24 hours will clarify whether clearing occurs early enough to push the maximum toward 22–23°C or remains suppressed near 21°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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