Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 21°C or below in Tel Aviv on March 29 at 79% implied probability, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service outlook and ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models projecting a daytime maximum around 20-21°C. Lingering effects from the past 48 hours' rainy frontal system—featuring intensified precipitation, flash flood risks, and a notable temperature drop observed on March 27-28 with highs near 19°C—have ushered cooler Mediterranean air masses and persistent cloud cover, limiting solar heating. Major forecasters like Weather.com align with showers (75% chance) and winds up to 16 mph, capping highs below recent spring norms of 21-22°C; final IMS updates today and official Ben Gurion Airport observations tomorrow will sharpen resolution amid model divergences.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 29?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 29?
21°C or below 81%
22°C 13%
23°C 3.0%
24°C 2.9%
21°C or below
81%
22°C
13%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 81%
22°C 13%
23°C 3.0%
24°C 2.9%
21°C or below
81%
22°C
13%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 21°C or below in Tel Aviv on March 29 at 79% implied probability, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service outlook and ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models projecting a daytime maximum around 20-21°C. Lingering effects from the past 48 hours' rainy frontal system—featuring intensified precipitation, flash flood risks, and a notable temperature drop observed on March 27-28 with highs near 19°C—have ushered cooler Mediterranean air masses and persistent cloud cover, limiting solar heating. Major forecasters like Weather.com align with showers (75% chance) and winds up to 16 mph, capping highs below recent spring norms of 21-22°C; final IMS updates today and official Ben Gurion Airport observations tomorrow will sharpen resolution amid model divergences.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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