Vice President JD Vance has played a central role in U.S.-Iran diplomatic efforts amid the 2025-2026 conflict, including leading talks in Islamabad in April 2026 and virtually signing a memorandum of understanding with Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf on June 14-15. The agreement, also signed electronically by President Trump, ends the naval blockade, reopens the Strait of Hormuz, and launches 60 days of nuclear negotiations following weeks of indirect and direct contacts in Oman, Geneva, and Pakistan. A formal signing ceremony is set for June 19 in Switzerland. These developments, alongside public statements from Vance and Iranian officials on the proximity of a deal, shape trader assessments of whether additional high-level meetings involving the vice president will occur within specified timeframes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$426,692 Vol.
2026/05/15
May 15
No
May 31
No
June 30
Yes
$426,692 Vol.
May 15
$55,839 Vol.
No
May 31
$101,124 Vol.
No
June 30
$269,729 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance has played a central role in U.S.-Iran diplomatic efforts amid the 2025-2026 conflict, including leading talks in Islamabad in April 2026 and virtually signing a memorandum of understanding with Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf on June 14-15. The agreement, also signed electronically by President Trump, ends the naval blockade, reopens the Strait of Hormuz, and launches 60 days of nuclear negotiations following weeks of indirect and direct contacts in Oman, Geneva, and Pakistan. A formal signing ceremony is set for June 19 in Switzerland. These developments, alongside public statements from Vance and Iranian officials on the proximity of a deal, shape trader assessments of whether additional high-level meetings involving the vice president will occur within specified timeframes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
音量
$426,692終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance has played a central role in U.S.-Iran diplomatic efforts amid the 2025-2026 conflict, including leading talks in Islamabad in April 2026 and virtually signing a memorandum of understanding with Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf on June 14-15. The agreement, also signed electronically by President Trump, ends the naval blockade, reopens the Strait of Hormuz, and launches 60 days of nuclear negotiations following weeks of indirect and direct contacts in Oman, Geneva, and Pakistan. A formal signing ceremony is set for June 19 in Switzerland. These developments, alongside public statements from Vance and Iranian officials on the proximity of a deal, shape trader assessments of whether additional high-level meetings involving the vice president will occur within specified timeframes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$426,692終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Vice President JD Vance has played a central role in U.S.-Iran diplomatic efforts amid the 2025-2026 conflict, including leading talks in Islamabad in April 2026 and virtually signing a memorandum of understanding with Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf on June 14-15. The agreement, also signed electronically by President Trump, ends the naval blockade, reopens the Strait of Hormuz, and launches 60 days of nuclear negotiations following weeks of indirect and direct contacts in Oman, Geneva, and Pakistan. A formal signing ceremony is set for June 19 in Switzerland. These developments, alongside public statements from Vance and Iranian officials on the proximity of a deal, shape trader assessments of whether additional high-level meetings involving the vice president will occur within specified timeframes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問