Adam Hamilton leads the August 4, 2026, Kansas Democratic Senate primary with strong trader support due to his late-April announcement as a prominent United Methodist pastor, rapid fundraising exceeding $1 million in the first week, and statewide name recognition that outpaces lesser-known rivals. Other declared candidates, including Damon Anderson, Christy Davis, Erik Murray, Jason Hart, and several others, remain in the field but have shown limited public momentum or financial traction so far. The race occurs in a solidly Republican general-election environment against incumbent Sen. Roger Marshall, making the Democratic nomination a lower-stakes contest where early organizational and donor advantages heavily shape current implied probabilities. No major late developments have altered the field since Hamilton’s entry.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Adam Hamilton 72%
Jason Hart 13.3%
Christy Davis 9.3%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 3.3%
$140,251 Vol.
$140,251 Vol.
Adam Hamilton
72%
Jason Hart
13%
Christy Davis
9%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
3%
Patrick Schmidt
3%
Sharice Davids
2%
Erik Murray
1%
Damon Anderson
1%
Noah Taylor
1%
Michael Soetaert
1%
Kevin Latz
<1%
Anne Parelkar
<1%
Adam Hamilton 72%
Jason Hart 13.3%
Christy Davis 9.3%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 3.3%
$140,251 Vol.
$140,251 Vol.
Adam Hamilton
72%
Jason Hart
13%
Christy Davis
9%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
3%
Patrick Schmidt
3%
Sharice Davids
2%
Erik Murray
1%
Damon Anderson
1%
Noah Taylor
1%
Michael Soetaert
1%
Kevin Latz
<1%
Anne Parelkar
<1%
If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日: Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adam Hamilton leads the August 4, 2026, Kansas Democratic Senate primary with strong trader support due to his late-April announcement as a prominent United Methodist pastor, rapid fundraising exceeding $1 million in the first week, and statewide name recognition that outpaces lesser-known rivals. Other declared candidates, including Damon Anderson, Christy Davis, Erik Murray, Jason Hart, and several others, remain in the field but have shown limited public momentum or financial traction so far. The race occurs in a solidly Republican general-election environment against incumbent Sen. Roger Marshall, making the Democratic nomination a lower-stakes contest where early organizational and donor advantages heavily shape current implied probabilities. No major late developments have altered the field since Hamilton’s entry.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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