Trader consensus slightly favors the CPI(M)-led LDF at 51% over INC-led UDF at 47.5% for Kerala's 140-seat Legislative Assembly, reflecting a fiercely contested bipolar race post-April 9 polling with record 79.6% turnout that amplified anti-incumbency pressures on the incumbent LDF's debt crisis and governance critiques while bolstering its welfare scheme appeal. Pre-poll surveys like Manorama-C Voter projected UDF gains of 69-81 seats in south-central belts, yet LDF incumbency and Pinarayi Vijayan's popularity sustain the edge amid Christian and minority vote fragmentation in swing constituencies like Thrissur and Malabar. BJP's negligible 0.3% underscores traditional LDF-UDF dominance; pending counts, postal ballots, and potential recounts in razor-thin margins could decisively tip the scales for majority government formation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日CPI(M) 51%
INC 48%
BJP <1%
BSP <1%
$288,042 Vol.
$288,042 Vol.
2026/04/09
CPI(M)
51%
INC
48%
BJP
1%
BSP
<1%
CPI
<1%
JD(S)
<1%
RSP
<1%
KEC(M)
<1%
NCP
<1%
IUML
<1%
CPI(M) 51%
INC 48%
BJP <1%
BSP <1%
$288,042 Vol.
$288,042 Vol.
2026/04/09
CPI(M)
$35,351 Vol.
51%
INC
$34,850 Vol.
48%
BJP
$61,440 Vol.
1%
BSP
$13,297 Vol.
<1%
CPI
$29,084 Vol.
<1%
JD(S)
$24,403 Vol.
<1%
RSP
$14,090 Vol.
<1%
KEC(M)
$13,613 Vol.
<1%
NCP
$46,975 Vol.
<1%
IUML
$14,939 Vol.
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Trader consensus slightly favors the CPI(M)-led LDF at 51% over INC-led UDF at 47.5% for Kerala's 140-seat Legislative Assembly, reflecting a fiercely contested bipolar race post-April 9 polling with record 79.6% turnout that amplified anti-incumbency pressures on the incumbent LDF's debt crisis and governance critiques while bolstering its welfare scheme appeal. Pre-poll surveys like Manorama-C Voter projected UDF gains of 69-81 seats in south-central belts, yet LDF incumbency and Pinarayi Vijayan's popularity sustain the edge amid Christian and minority vote fragmentation in swing constituencies like Thrissur and Malabar. BJP's negligible 0.3% underscores traditional LDF-UDF dominance; pending counts, postal ballots, and potential recounts in razor-thin margins could decisively tip the scales for majority government formation.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
マーケット開始日： Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ET
音量
$288,042終了日
2026/04/09マーケット開始日
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Trader consensus slightly favors the CPI(M)-led LDF at 51% over INC-led UDF at 47.5% for Kerala's 140-seat Legislative Assembly, reflecting a fiercely contested bipolar race post-April 9 polling with record 79.6% turnout that amplified anti-incumbency pressures on the incumbent LDF's debt crisis and governance critiques while bolstering its welfare scheme appeal. Pre-poll surveys like Manorama-C Voter projected UDF gains of 69-81 seats in south-central belts, yet LDF incumbency and Pinarayi Vijayan's popularity sustain the edge amid Christian and minority vote fragmentation in swing constituencies like Thrissur and Malabar. BJP's negligible 0.3% underscores traditional LDF-UDF dominance; pending counts, postal ballots, and potential recounts in razor-thin margins could decisively tip the scales for majority government formation.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
音量
$288,042終了日
2026/04/09マーケット開始日
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus slightly favors the CPI(M)-led LDF at 51% over INC-led UDF at 47.5% for Kerala's 140-seat Legislative Assembly, reflecting a fiercely contested bipolar race post-April 9 polling with record 79.6% turnout that amplified anti-incumbency pressures on the incumbent LDF's debt crisis and governance critiques while bolstering its welfare scheme appeal. Pre-poll surveys like Manorama-C Voter projected UDF gains of 69-81 seats in south-central belts, yet LDF incumbency and Pinarayi Vijayan's popularity sustain the edge amid Christian and minority vote fragmentation in swing constituencies like Thrissur and Malabar. BJP's negligible 0.3% underscores traditional LDF-UDF dominance; pending counts, postal ballots, and potential recounts in razor-thin margins could decisively tip the scales for majority government formation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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