Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project an overnight low of 16°C in Ankara on August 21, aligning with the market's 99% implied probability on that threshold. This positioning reflects model consensus under clear skies and typical late-summer radiative cooling, where daytime highs near 33°C give way to efficient nighttime temperature drops consistent with the city's continental climate and historical August minima averaging 15–16°C. Limited atmospheric moisture and light winds support minimal deviation. Unforeseen increases in cloud cover or shifts in wind patterns could modestly raise the minimum by reducing heat loss, though ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日のアンカラの最低気温は?
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$5,211 Vol.
$5,211 Vol.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$5,211 Vol.
$5,211 Vol.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project an overnight low of 16°C in Ankara on August 21, aligning with the market's 99% implied probability on that threshold. This positioning reflects model consensus under clear skies and typical late-summer radiative cooling, where daytime highs near 33°C give way to efficient nighttime temperature drops consistent with the city's continental climate and historical August minima averaging 15–16°C. Limited atmospheric moisture and light winds support minimal deviation. Unforeseen increases in cloud cover or shifts in wind patterns could modestly raise the minimum by reducing heat loss, though ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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